Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 10 May 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeToyota StadiumFull-time recap
31Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC DallasReal Salt Lake
Shots11 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals2.15 xG/match0.5 xG/match
Possession27%73%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Salt Lake's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: FC Dallas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Real Salt Lake have a visible away split

moderate

Real Salt Lake's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.2 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Dallas's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Dallas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.92 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Dallas favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Real Salt Lake in 4 · 4 too close

1.92 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/111.82 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/111.55 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/82.01 xG/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/81.41 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1116.3 shots/match
8.75 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1112.5 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/116.55 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/114.82 shots/match
43.1%Possessionseason · 12/1150.4%
4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/114.55 corners/match
5.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/115.27 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42.75 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1112.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/119%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1182%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Dallas11.7
Real Salt Lake61.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Dallas63.3
Real Salt Lake86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Dallas83.9
Real Salt Lake51.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Dallas78.3
Real Salt Lake98.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Dallas55
Real Salt Lake65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Dallas31.7
Real Salt Lake36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Dallas55.4
Real Salt Lake70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.75 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots5/515.2 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/57.6 shots/match
41.2%Possession5/557%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored10/102 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals9/82.01 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots10/1016.9 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target10/107 shots/match
42.5%Possession10/1051.3%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
Cards2/32.67 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 11 matches
1.92 goals/matchGoals scored12/111.82 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/111.55 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals9/82.01 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots12/1116.3 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target12/116.55 shots/match
43.1%Possession12/1150.4%
4.5 corners/matchCorners12/114.55 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1112.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored8/51.4 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/52 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals6/31.58 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots8/513.2 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target8/54.8 shots/match
43.3%Possession8/551%
4.13 corners/matchCorners8/54.4 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls8/511.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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