Major League Soccer · 2026Toyota Stadium

FC Dallas 3–1 Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Dallas won 3–1.

Shots
119
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
2.150.5
Possession
27%73%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Dallas beat Real Salt Lake 3–1. Recorded in this match (FC Dallas – Real Salt Lake): shots 11–9, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 2.15–0.5, possession 27%–73%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Salt Lake have a visible away split

moderate

Real Salt Lake's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Dallas's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Dallas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.92 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsFC Dallas 11 shots, Real Salt Lake 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsFC Dallas 4 shots, Real Salt Lake 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.15 xG0.5 xGFC Dallas 2.15 xG, Real Salt Lake 0.5 xG
  • Possession27%73%FC Dallas 27%, Real Salt Lake 73%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersFC Dallas 4 corners, Real Salt Lake 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsFC Dallas 15 fouls, Real Salt Lake 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsFC Dallas 2 cards, Real Salt Lake 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Dallas
2Draws
1Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer1–1
Real Salt Lake — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer0–1
Real Salt Lake — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer3–2
FC Dallas — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer3–3
Real Salt Lake — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Dallas favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Real Salt Lake in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Dallas12 matchesReal Salt Lake11 matches
1.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/111.82 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/111.55 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals9/8▲ 2.01 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots12/11▲ 16.3 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲ 6.55 shots/match
43.1%Possession12/11● 50.4%
4.5 corners/matchCorners12/11● 4.55 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1112.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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