Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 9 May 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeMercedes-Benz StadiumFull-time recap

Atlanta United FC

LLLWW

1–2Full-time recap

Los Angeles Galaxy

WDLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Atlanta United FC	Los Angeles Galaxy
Shots	14 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.95 xG/match	1.72 xG/match▲
Possession	53%	47%
Corners	6 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	4 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atlanta United FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Atlanta United FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlanta United FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.08 goals/match	1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atlanta United FC favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Los Angeles Galaxy in 8 · 6 too close

1.08 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲1.5 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲1.5 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/9▲1.55 xG/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.21 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲13.1 shots/match

11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1211.3 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲5.92 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/124.08 shots/match

53.8%Possessionseason · 12/1249.3%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/125.08 corners/match

5.08 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲3 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42.75 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/129.83 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/128%

58%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/12▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlanta United FC71.7

Los Angeles Galaxy51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlanta United FC22.8

Los Angeles Galaxy62.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlanta United FC59.4

Los Angeles Galaxy69.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlanta United FC31.7

Los Angeles Galaxy55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlanta United FC45.8

Los Angeles Galaxy39.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlanta United FC58.3

Los Angeles Galaxy63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlanta United FC37.1

Los Angeles Galaxy53.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.47 xG/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

51.6%Possession5/544%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.55 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots10/1013.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.3 shots/match

54.5%Possession10/1049.2%

5.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.6 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls10/109.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches

1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.5 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1.5 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.55 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots12/12▲13.1 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲5.92 shots/match

53.8%Possession12/1249.3%

5 corners/matchCorners12/125.08 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFouls12/129.83 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 6 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/6▲1.5 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/61.83 goals/match

1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals7/51.16 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots8/612.3 shots/match

4.63 shots/matchShots on target8/6▲5.33 shots/match

55.1%Possession8/649.2%

4.5 corners/matchCorners8/64.83 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls8/68 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.88 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Atlanta United FC's recent record differs from the season

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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