PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United 1–2 LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

LA Galaxy won 1–2.

Shots
149
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.951.72
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Los Angeles Galaxy beat Atlanta United FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atlanta United FC – Los Angeles Galaxy): shots 14–9, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.95–1.72, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlanta United FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlanta United FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsAtlanta United 14 shots, LA Galaxy 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsAtlanta United 3 shots, LA Galaxy 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG1.72 xGAtlanta United 0.95 xG, LA Galaxy 1.72 xG
  • Possession53%47%Atlanta United 53%, LA Galaxy 47%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersAtlanta United 6 corners, LA Galaxy 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls4 foulsAtlanta United 6 fouls, LA Galaxy 4 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardAtlanta United 3 cards, LA Galaxy 1 card

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlanta United
0Draws
2LA Galaxy
LA Galaxy — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer2–0
LA Galaxy — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlanta United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · LA Galaxy in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlanta United12 matchesLA Galaxy12 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.55 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 13.1 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.92 shots/match
53.8% ●Possession12/1249.3%
5 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.08 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls12/129.83 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlanta UnitedLA Galaxy
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headAtlanta United — LA Galaxy
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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