PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Gillette Stadium

New England Revolution 2–1 Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

New England Revolution won 2–1.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.851.36
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

New England Revolution beat Philadelphia Union 2–1. Recorded in this match (New England Revolution – Philadelphia Union): shots 10–11, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.85–1.36, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

New England Revolution show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.91 shots/match ▲ShotsNew England Revolution · Philadelphia Union13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNew England RevolutionPhiladelphia UnionBaseline
Shots9.91 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match8.92 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

New England Revolution have a visible home split

moderate

New England Revolution's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.91 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match9.91 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

weak

New England Revolution's last-five shots average is above their season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.91 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match9.91 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsNew England Revolution 10 shots, Philadelphia Union 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsNew England Revolution 2 shots, Philadelphia Union 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG1.36 xGNew England Revolution 0.85 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.36 xG
  • Possession62%38%New England Revolution 62%, Philadelphia Union 38%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersNew England Revolution 9 corners, Philadelphia Union 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls15 foulsNew England Revolution 8 fouls, Philadelphia Union 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsNew England Revolution 0 cards, Philadelphia Union 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0New England Revolution
0Draws
5Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer1–0
New England Revolution — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer0–2
Philadelphia Union — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer5–1
New England Revolution — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer0–3
New England Revolution — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: New England Revolution favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Philadelphia Union in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

New England Revolution11 matchesPhiladelphia Union12 matches
1.82 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/120.83 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/121.58 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.24 xG/match
9.91 shots/matchShots11/12▲ 13.7 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/123.58 shots/match
48.1% ●Possession11/1247.6%
3.09 corners/matchCorners11/12● 5.83 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/43.5 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1215.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNew England RevolutionPhiladelphia Union
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headNew England Revolution — Philadelphia Union
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required