PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 9 May 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeGillette StadiumFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNew England RevolutionPhiladelphia Union
Shots10 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals0.85 xG/match1.36 xG/match▲
Possession62%38%
Corners9 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: New England Revolution's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

New England Revolution show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.91 shots/match▲ShotsNew England Revolution · Philadelphia Union13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNew England RevolutionPhiladelphia UnionBaseline
Shots9.91 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match8.92 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

New England Revolution have a visible home split

moderate

New England Revolution's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.91 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match9.91 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

weak

New England Revolution's last-five shots average is above their season average.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.91 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match9.91 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New England Revolution favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Philadelphia Union in 5 · 4 too close

1.82 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/120.83 goals/match
1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/121.58 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/91.24 xG/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.37 xG/match
9.91 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/12▲13.7 shots/match
13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/12▲8.92 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/123.58 shots/match
5.64 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/12▲3.42 shots/match
48.1%Possessionseason · 11/1247.6%
3.09 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/125.83 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/12▲3 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/43.5 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1215.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1217%
91%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1258%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New England Revolution48.3
Philadelphia Union40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New England Revolution29.5
Philadelphia Union29.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New England Revolution43.9
Philadelphia Union77.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New England Revolution11.7
Philadelphia Union75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution45
Philadelphia Union95.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 64%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution1.7
Philadelphia Union81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New England Revolution10.8
Philadelphia Union65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.15 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
50.4%Possession5/545.2%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
—Cards0/1—
8.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.24 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.6 shots/match
4.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
48.4%Possession10/1047.3%
3.2 corners/matchCorners10/106 corners/match
—Cards2/2—
11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 12 matches
1.82 goals/match▲Goals scored11/120.83 goals/match
1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/121.58 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.24 xG/match
9.91 shots/matchShots11/12▲13.7 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target11/123.58 shots/match
48.1%Possession11/1247.6%
3.09 corners/matchCorners11/125.83 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/43.5 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1215.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches
2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/71.14 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/72 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.25 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots6/7▲12.9 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73.43 shots/match
52%Possession6/745.6%
3.17 corners/matchCorners6/74.43 corners/match
—Cards1/2—
11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/717.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsNew England RevolutionPhiladelphia Union
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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