PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Colorado Rapids 0–1 St.Louis City · Major League Soccer

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

St.Louis City won 0–1.

Shots
1010
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.21.87
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

St. Louis City beat Colorado Rapids 1–0. Recorded in this match (Colorado Rapids – St. Louis City): shots 10–10, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.2–1.87, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

moderate

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots10 shotsColorado Rapids 10 shots, St.Louis City 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotColorado Rapids 2 shots, St.Louis City 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.2 xG1.87 xGColorado Rapids 1.2 xG, St.Louis City 1.87 xG
  • Possession56%44%Colorado Rapids 56%, St.Louis City 44%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerColorado Rapids 11 corners, St.Louis City 1 corner
  • Fouls19 fouls18 foulsColorado Rapids 19 fouls, St.Louis City 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsColorado Rapids 3 cards, St.Louis City 5 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Colorado Rapids
1Draws
1St.Louis City
Colorado Rapids — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer1–0
St.Louis City — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer0–0
Colorado Rapids — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer4–1
St.Louis City — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer0–3
St.Louis City — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Colorado Rapids favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · St.Louis City in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Colorado Rapids12 matchesSt.Louis City11 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/110.91 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed12/111.64 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals9/8▲ 1.6 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots12/11▲ 13.6 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target12/114.36 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession12/1149.9%
4.67 corners/matchCorners12/11● 6.36 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards6/42.5 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1112.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsColorado RapidsSt.Louis City
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headColorado Rapids — St.Louis City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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