Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 10 May 2026, 01:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Colorado Rapids

WLDLL

0–1Full-time recap

St. Louis City

DDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Colorado Rapids	St. Louis City
Shots	10 shots/match	10 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.2 xG/match	1.87 xG/match▲
Possession	56%	44%
Corners	11 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	19 fouls/match	18 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.83 goals/match	1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

moderate

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Colorado Rapids favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · St. Louis City in 5 · 7 too close

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/110.91 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/111.64 goals/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/8▲1.6 xG/match

1.5 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/8▲1.33 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/11▲13.6 shots/match

12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/11▲11.1 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/114.36 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/114.55 shots/match

56.3%Possessionseason · 12/1149.9%

4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/116.36 corners/match

5.08 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/11▲4.27 corners/match

3.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/42.5 cards/match

14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1112.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/119%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1164%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Colorado Rapids88.3

St. Louis City55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Colorado Rapids46.1

St. Louis City39.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Colorado Rapids48.4

St. Louis City60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Colorado Rapids8.3

St. Louis City65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids94.2

St. Louis City57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 68%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids45

St. Louis City91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Colorado Rapids49.2

St. Louis City64.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.02 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.85 xG/match

9.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.6 shots/match

2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match

61%Possession5/551.2%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/57.2 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

12 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals9/8▲1.6 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.8 shots/match

4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match

56.4%Possession10/1049.7%

4 corners/matchCorners10/106.4 corners/match

3.75 cards/matchCards4/32.67 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 11 matches

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored12/110.91 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed12/111.64 goals/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals9/8▲1.6 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots12/11▲13.6 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target12/114.36 shots/match

56.3%Possession12/1149.9%

4.67 corners/matchCorners12/116.36 corners/match

3.5 cards/matchCards6/42.5 cards/match

14.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1112.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 7 matches

2.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/70.57 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/71.71 goals/match

1.84 xG/match▲Expected goals3/61.56 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots5/712 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/73 shots/match

55.2%Possession5/747.1%

6 corners/matchCorners5/75.57 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCards4/2—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/712.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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