Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 16 May 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeAudi FieldFull-time recap

DC United

DWWDL

1–1Full-time recap

St. Louis City

LLLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	DC United	St. Louis City
Shots	14 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	0.74 xG/match	1.12 xG/match▲
Possession	43%	57%
Corners	5 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for DC United, St. Louis City. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.21 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for DC United, St. Louis City.

3 days▲Rest daysDC United · St. Louis City2.96 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	DC United	St. Louis City	Baseline
Rest days	3 days	2.96 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

St. Louis City have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.4%▲PossessionDC United · St. Louis City49.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	DC United	St. Louis City	Baseline
Possession	39.4%	49.5%	48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

DC United favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · St. Louis City in 6 · 5 too close

1.21 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/131 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/131.54 goals/match

1.34 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/10▲1.57 xG/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/101.3 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/13▲13.4 shots/match

12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/13▲11.7 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/134.08 shots/match

5.07 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/13▲4.54 shots/match

39.4%Possessionseason · 14/1349.5%

4.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/136.15 corners/match

5.93 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/13▲4.62 corners/match

2.4 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 5/53.2 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1312.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/138%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/13▲69%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

DC United1.7

St. Louis City58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

DC United22.8

St. Louis City32.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

DC United42.2

St. Louis City61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

DC United81.7

St. Louis City61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

DC United65

St. Louis City74.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 68%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

DC United30

St. Louis City91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

DC United40.8

St. Louis City60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.39 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.04 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match

6.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

35%Possession5/548.4%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.57 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.5 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.6 shots/match

38.8%Possession10/1049.6%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/106.4 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 13 matches

1.21 goals/match▲Goals scored14/131 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed14/131.54 goals/match

1.34 xG/matchExpected goals11/10▲1.57 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots14/13▲13.4 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target14/134.08 shots/match

39.4%Possession14/1349.5%

4.57 corners/matchCorners14/136.15 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFouls14/1312.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 8 matches

1.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/80.63 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/8▲1.63 goals/match

0.84 xG/matchExpected goals4/7▲1.5 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShots6/812.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/83 shots/match

43%Possession6/848.4%

5.67 corners/matchCorners6/85.88 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/34.33 cards/match

15.2 fouls/matchFouls6/812.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.96 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

DC United's recent record differs from the season

Recent scheduling adds useful context

The teams have contrasting possession records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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