Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 3 May 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeYankee StadiumFull-time recap

New York City FC

DLLDL

0–2Full-time recap

DC United

LLDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	New York City FC	DC United
Shots	9 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.56 xG/match	2.79 xG/match▲
Possession	73%	27%
Corners	6 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	17 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: New York City FC have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.18 goals/match	1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

New York City FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

59%▲PossessionNew York City FC · DC United40.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	New York City FC	DC United	Baseline
Possession	59%	40.3%	48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New York City FC favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · DC United in 6 · 3 too close

1.73 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/111.18 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.36 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/8▲1.46 xG/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.11 xG/match

12.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1111.5 shots/match

12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲12.2 shots/match

5.45 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.55 shots/match

5.18 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲4.73 shots/match

59%Possessionseason · 11/1140.3%

4 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/114.09 corners/match

4.09 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/115.36 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/32 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1113.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

9%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/11▲36%

73%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1155%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New York City FC95

DC United1.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New York City FC66.1

DC United17.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New York City FC38.3

DC United61.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New York City FC15

DC United71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New York City FC45

DC United61.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 64%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New York City FC20

DC United28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New York City FC46.7

DC United38.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

0.92 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.81 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.6 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match

62.8%Possession5/539.8%

4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲1.46 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.9 shots/match

5.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match

58.5%Possession10/1039.4%

4.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards3/2—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches

1.73 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.18 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲1.36 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲1.46 xG/match

12.7 shots/match▲Shots11/1111.5 shots/match

5.45 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.55 shots/match

59%Possession11/1140.3%

4 corners/matchCorners11/114.09 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match

1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1 goals/match

1.3 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.62 xG/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shots7/711 shots/match

6.57 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match

58.6%Possession7/738.3%

4.57 corners/matchCorners7/73.29 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls7/712.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.02 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.81 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

DC United's recent record differs from the season

The teams have contrasting possession records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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