Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 3 May 2026, 01:30 UTCFull timeSnapdragon StadiumFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSan DiegoLos Angeles FC
Shots8 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.04 xG/match0.78 xG/match
Possession57%43%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Los Angeles FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: San Diego have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Los Angeles FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Los Angeles FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

San Diego have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.2%PossessionSan Diego · Los Angeles FC44.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSan DiegoLos Angeles FCBaseline
Possession63.2%44.9%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Diego, Los Angeles FC.

7 daysRest daysSan Diego · Los Angeles FC7.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSan DiegoLos Angeles FCBaseline
Rest days7 days7.2 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

San Diego favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Los Angeles FC in 6 · 6 too close

1.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/111.73 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/110.73 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/80.98 xG/match
2.05 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.17 xG/match
10 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/1112.6 shots/match
12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1112.6 shots/match
4.18 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/114.64 shots/match
5.45 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/113.91 shots/match
63.2%Possessionseason · 11/1144.9%
4.82 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/114.91 corners/match
3.64 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/115 corners/match
2.71 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/32 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1112.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1173%
82%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1182%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

San Diego98.3
Los Angeles FC21.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

San Diego30.5
Los Angeles FC52.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

San Diego33.3
Los Angeles FC67.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

San Diego1.7
Los Angeles FC71.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

San Diego58.3
Los Angeles FC50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 64%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

San Diego48.3
Los Angeles FC55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

San Diego32
Los Angeles FC54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.72 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots5/511 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
62.2%Possession5/540.8%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards2/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.6 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.8 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals8/80.98 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots10/1012.4 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/104.5 shots/match
62.6%Possession10/1046.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards6/2
11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
1.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.73 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/110.73 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals8/80.98 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots11/1112.6 shots/match
4.18 shots/matchShots on target11/114.64 shots/match
63.2%Possession11/1144.9%
4.82 corners/matchCorners11/114.91 corners/match
2.71 cards/matchCards7/32 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches
2.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/51.2 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/50.8 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.87 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots6/512.6 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target6/54.6 shots/match
63.3%Possession6/546.4%
5.17 corners/matchCorners6/54.8 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/1
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/511.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.2 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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