Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 3 May 2026, 02:30 UTCFull timeDignity Health Sports ParkFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLos Angeles GalaxyVancouver Whitecaps
Shots7 shots/match19 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals1.4 xG/match2.73 xG/match
Possession38%62%
Corners1 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards5 cards/match5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Los Angeles Galaxy's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Los Angeles Galaxy's recent record differs from the season

weak

Los Angeles Galaxy's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/matchShotsLos Angeles Galaxy · Vancouver Whitecaps18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLos Angeles GalaxyVancouver WhitecapsBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match18.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match7.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Los Angeles Galaxy favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Vancouver Whitecaps in 9 · 3 too close

1.45 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/102.6 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/100.6 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/72.97 xG/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/70.84 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/1018.2 shots/match
11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/107.7 shots/match
5.91 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/107 shots/match
4.18 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/102.3 shots/match
49.5%Possessionseason · 11/1054.6%
5.09 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/106 corners/match
2.73 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/103.5 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/32 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1016.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
9%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1050%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1090%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Los Angeles Galaxy55
Vancouver Whitecaps78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Los Angeles Galaxy66.1
Vancouver Whitecaps97.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Los Angeles Galaxy66.1
Vancouver Whitecaps96.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Los Angeles Galaxy58.3
Vancouver Whitecaps95
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles Galaxy44.1
Vancouver Whitecaps66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 65%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles Galaxy61.7
Vancouver Whitecaps81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Los Angeles Galaxy57.9
Vancouver Whitecaps93.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals5/53.15 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots5/522.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/57.8 shots/match
42.4%Possession5/552%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/517.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.6 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals8/72.97 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots10/1018.2 shots/match
5.9 shots/matchShots on target10/107 shots/match
50.8%Possession10/1054.6%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/106 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
9.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1016.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 10 matches
1.45 goals/matchGoals scored11/102.6 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed11/100.6 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals8/72.97 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots11/1018.2 shots/match
5.91 shots/matchShots on target11/107 shots/match
49.5%Possession11/1054.6%
5.09 corners/matchCorners11/106 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1016.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 2 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/2
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/2
2.02 xG/matchExpected goals4/1
13.8 shots/matchShots6/2
6.5 shots/matchShots on target6/2
49.3%Possession6/2
5.33 corners/matchCorners6/2
Cards2/1
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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