Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 3 May 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeShell Energy StadiumFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHouston DynamoColorado Rapids
Shots8 shots/match3 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.27 xG/match0.41 xG/match
Possession40%60%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Colorado Rapids's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Houston Dynamo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Colorado Rapids have a visible away split

moderate

Colorado Rapids's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.57 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.57 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Houston Dynamo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Houston Dynamo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Colorado Rapids have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.3%PossessionHouston Dynamo · Colorado Rapids56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHouston DynamoColorado RapidsBaseline
Possession42.3%56.3%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Houston Dynamo
0Draws
1Colorado Rapids
Colorado RapidsHouston Dynamo · Major League Soccer62

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Houston Dynamo favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Colorado Rapids in 2 · 7 too close

1.3 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/112 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/111.73 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.55 xG/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.45 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1111.4 shots/match
12.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1112.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/114.73 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/115.09 shots/match
42.3%Possessionseason · 10/1156.3%
5.3 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/114.09 corners/match
4.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/115.45 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/53.4 cards/match
9.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1113.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1118%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1173%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Houston Dynamo5
Colorado Rapids85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Houston Dynamo43.3
Colorado Rapids57.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Houston Dynamo49.4
Colorado Rapids38.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Houston Dynamo91.7
Colorado Rapids8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Houston Dynamo49.1
Colorado Rapids90.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 73%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Houston Dynamo71.7
Colorado Rapids26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Houston Dynamo45.9
Colorado Rapids50.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.33 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
42.4%Possession5/560%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
Cards1/1
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.55 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots10/1011.7 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/104.9 shots/match
42.3%Possession10/1056.2%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards5/43.25 cards/match
9.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 11 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/112 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/111.73 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.55 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots10/1111.4 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/114.73 shots/match
42.3%Possession10/1156.3%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/114.09 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards5/53.4 cards/match
9.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1113.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/71.14 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed6/71.86 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals4/61.34 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots6/78.57 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/73.43 shots/match
39.2%Possession6/757%
5.5 corners/matchCorners6/73.71 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/2
9 fouls/matchFouls6/714.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.92 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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