Major League Soccer · 2026ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Columbus Crew 2–3 Minnesota United · Major League Soccer

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Minnesota United won 2–3.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.041.12
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Minnesota United FC beat Columbus Crew 3–2. Recorded in this match (Columbus Crew – Minnesota United FC): shots 13–11, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.04–1.12, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Minnesota United FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Minnesota United FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Columbus Crew, Minnesota United FC.

7 days ▲Rest daysColumbus Crew · Minnesota United FC7.11 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricColumbus CrewMinnesota United FCBaseline
Rest days7 days7.11 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Columbus Crew have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.7% ●PossessionColumbus Crew · Minnesota United FC43.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricColumbus CrewMinnesota United FCBaseline
Possession55.7%43.6%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsColumbus Crew 13 shots, Minnesota United 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsColumbus Crew 4 shots, Minnesota United 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG1.12 xGColumbus Crew 1.04 xG, Minnesota United 1.12 xG
  • Possession66%34%Columbus Crew 66%, Minnesota United 34%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersColumbus Crew 4 corners, Minnesota United 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsColumbus Crew 9 fouls, Minnesota United 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsColumbus Crew 2 cards, Minnesota United 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Columbus Crew
1Draws
0Minnesota United
Minnesota United — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Columbus Crew favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Minnesota United in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Columbus Crew11 matchesMinnesota United11 matches
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.27 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111.45 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.47 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 13.2 shots/match
4.55 shots/matchShots on target11/114.55 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession11/1143.6%
5.91 corners/match ●Corners11/114.91 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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