Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 2 May 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeGillette StadiumFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNew England RevolutionCharlotte
Shots14 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.47 xG/match0.9 xG/match
Possession56%44%
Corners3 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Charlotte's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Charlotte's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Charlotte's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlotte's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charlotte have a visible away split

moderate

Charlotte's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.83 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.83 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for New England Revolution, Charlotte.

7 daysRest daysNew England Revolution · Charlotte6.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNew England RevolutionCharlotteBaseline
Rest days7 days6.96 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New England Revolution favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Charlotte in 4 · 5 too close

1.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/111.64 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/111.73 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.48 xG/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.33 xG/match
9.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1110.4 shots/match
14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1114.8 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/114.73 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/116.18 shots/match
46.7%Possessionseason · 10/1147.8%
2.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/114.09 corners/match
5.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/114.91 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/42.25 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1110.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/119%
90%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1173%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New England Revolution31.7
Charlotte40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New England Revolution32.8
Charlotte40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New England Revolution40
Charlotte23.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New England Revolution11.7
Charlotte15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution50.9
Charlotte30.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 65%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution1.7
Charlotte26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New England Revolution17.9
Charlotte26.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.37 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots5/58.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
48.8%Possession5/544%
2.4 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
Cards0/0
9 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.8 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.48 xG/match
9.9 shots/matchShots10/1010.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104.9 shots/match
46.7%Possession10/1047.8%
2.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 11 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/111.64 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/111.73 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.48 xG/match
9.9 shots/matchShots10/1110.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/114.73 shots/match
46.7%Possession10/1147.8%
2.5 corners/matchCorners10/114.09 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/42.25 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1110.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches
2.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/61 goals/match
0.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/62.33 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals5/41.14 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots5/67.83 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/63 shots/match
50%Possession5/643.3%
2 corners/matchCorners5/63 corners/match
Cards1/2
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/610.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.96 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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