Major League Soccer · 2026Geodis Park

Nashville SC 4–2 Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer

4–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Nashville SC won 4–2.

Shots
137
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.231.15
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nashville SC beat Charlotte 4–2. Recorded in this match (Nashville SC – Charlotte): shots 13–7, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.23–1.15, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlotte.

7.04 days ▲Rest daysNashville SC · Charlotte3.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNashville SCCharlotteBaseline
Rest days7.04 days3.04 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Charlotte have a visible away split

moderate

Charlotte's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Charlotte show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Charlotte's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsNashville SC · Charlotte10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNashville SCCharlotteBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against9.11 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots7 shotsNashville SC 13 shots, Charlotte FC 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsNashville SC 7 shots, Charlotte FC 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG1.15 xGNashville SC 1.23 xG, Charlotte FC 1.15 xG
  • Possession62%38%Nashville SC 62%, Charlotte FC 38%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersNashville SC 6 corners, Charlotte FC 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsNashville SC 12 fouls, Charlotte FC 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardNashville SC 2 cards, Charlotte FC 1 card

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Nashville SC
0Draws
2Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer1–2
Nashville SC — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer2–1
Charlotte FC — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer2–1
Charlotte FC — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer1–0
Nashville SC — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nashville SC favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Charlotte FC in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nashville SC9 matchesCharlotte FC10 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/101.8 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/101.8 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals6/7▲ 1.56 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots9/1010.8 shots/match
5.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/105 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession9/1048.2%
4.22 corners/match ●Corners9/104 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/42.25 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls9/109.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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