Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeGeodis ParkFull-time recap
42Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNashville SCCharlotte
Shots13 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.23 xG/match1.15 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlotte. A second useful context is: Charlotte's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlotte.

7.04 daysRest daysNashville SC · Charlotte3.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNashville SCCharlotteBaseline
Rest days7.04 days3.04 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Charlotte have a visible away split

moderate

Charlotte's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.2 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Charlotte show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Charlotte's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/matchShotsNashville SC · Charlotte10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNashville SCCharlotteBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against9.11 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Nashville SC
0Draws
0Charlotte
CharlotteNashville SC · Major League Soccer12

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Nashville SC favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Charlotte in 1 · 4 too close

2.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/101.8 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/101.8 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/71.56 xG/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/71.3 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/1010.8 shots/match
9.11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/1014.9 shots/match
5.78 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/105 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/106.4 shots/match
54.3%Possessionseason · 9/1048.2%
4.22 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/104 corners/match
3.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/105.1 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/42.25 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/109.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
44%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/1010%
78%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/1080%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nashville SC78.3
Charlotte45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nashville SC73.9
Charlotte51.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nashville SC88.9
Charlotte21.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nashville SC38.3
Charlotte31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC43.4
Charlotte30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC35
Charlotte23.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nashville SC59.2
Charlotte30.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.48 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots5/59.2 shots/match
6.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
56%Possession5/546.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 10 matches
2.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/101.8 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/101.8 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals6/71.56 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots9/1010.8 shots/match
5.78 shots/matchShots on target9/105 shots/match
54.3%Possession9/1048.2%
4.22 corners/matchCorners9/104 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/42.25 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls9/109.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 10 matches
2.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/101.8 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/101.8 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals6/71.56 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots9/1010.8 shots/match
5.78 shots/matchShots on target9/105 shots/match
54.3%Possession9/1048.2%
4.22 corners/matchCorners9/104 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/42.25 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls9/109.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches
4 goals/matchGoals scored4/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/52.6 goals/match
Expected goals2/31.22 xG/match
15.5 shots/matchShots4/58.2 shots/match
7.25 shots/matchShots on target4/53.2 shots/match
58%Possession4/543.2%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/52.6 corners/match
Cards2/2
13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/59.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.04 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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