Major League Soccer · 2026Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls 0–2 FC Dallas · Major League Soccer

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Dallas won 0–2.

Shots
911
Shots on target
06
Expected goals
0.611.81
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Dallas beat New York Red Bulls 2–0. Recorded in this match (New York Red Bulls – FC Dallas): shots 9–11, shots on target 0–6, expected goals 0.61–1.81, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Dallas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Dallas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.82 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Dallas.

7 days ▲Rest daysNew York Red Bulls · FC Dallas6.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNew York Red BullsFC DallasBaseline
Rest days7 days6.88 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

New York Red Bulls have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.6% ●PossessionNew York Red Bulls · FC Dallas44.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNew York Red BullsFC DallasBaseline
Possession57.6%44.5%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsNew York Red Bulls 9 shots, FC Dallas 11 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots6 shotsNew York Red Bulls 0 shots, FC Dallas 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.61 xG1.81 xGNew York Red Bulls 0.61 xG, FC Dallas 1.81 xG
  • Possession59%41%New York Red Bulls 59%, FC Dallas 41%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersNew York Red Bulls 8 corners, FC Dallas 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls7 foulsNew York Red Bulls 6 fouls, FC Dallas 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsNew York Red Bulls 0 cards, FC Dallas 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1New York Red Bulls
1Draws
0FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer2–1
New York Red Bulls — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: New York Red Bulls favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · FC Dallas in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

New York Red Bulls11 matchesFC Dallas11 matches
1.45 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.82 goals/match
2.45 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.51 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots11/1112.7 shots/match
5.18 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114.82 shots/match
57.6% ●Possession11/1144.5%
6.82 corners/match ●Corners11/114.55 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/42 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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