PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 02:30 UTCFull timeBC PlaceFull-time recap
3–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVancouver WhitecapsColorado Rapids
Shots20 shots/match▲13 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals3.5 xG/match▲1.51 xG/match
Possession45%55%
Corners8 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls24 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Colorado Rapids. A second useful context is: Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Colorado Rapids.

8 days▲Rest daysVancouver Whitecaps · Colorado Rapids3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVancouver WhitecapsColorado RapidsBaseline
Rest days8 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days1 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.1 shots/match▲ShotsVancouver Whitecaps · Colorado Rapids12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVancouver WhitecapsColorado RapidsBaseline
Shots18.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against7.78 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Colorado Rapids have a visible away split

moderate

Colorado Rapids's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Vancouver Whitecaps favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Colorado Rapids in 0 · 3 too close

2.78 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/102.2 goals/match
0.56 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/101.8 goals/match
3.02 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/71.71 xG/match
0.75 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/71.62 xG/match
18.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/1012.2 shots/match
7.78 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/1013.1 shots/match
7.11 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/105.1 shots/match
2.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/105.1 shots/match
53.8%Possessionseason · 9/1055.9%
6.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/104.1 corners/match
3.78 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/105.4 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/53.4 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/1014.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
56%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/1020%
89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/1080%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Vancouver Whitecaps71.7
Colorado Rapids85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Vancouver Whitecaps98.3
Colorado Rapids66.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Vancouver Whitecaps96.7
Colorado Rapids36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Vancouver Whitecaps95
Colorado Rapids18.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Vancouver Whitecaps66.7
Colorado Rapids90.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Vancouver Whitecaps88.3
Colorado Rapids28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Vancouver Whitecaps95.8
Colorado Rapids57
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
2.8 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.34 xG/match
20.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match
7.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
51.8%Possession5/557.2%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
—Cards0/2—
16.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 10 matches
2.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/102.2 goals/match
0.56 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/101.8 goals/match
3.02 xG/match▲Expected goals6/71.71 xG/match
18.1 shots/match▲Shots9/1012.2 shots/match
7.11 shots/match▲Shots on target9/105.1 shots/match
53.8%Possession9/1055.9%
6.44 corners/matchCorners9/104.1 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/53.4 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls9/1014.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 10 matches
2.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/102.2 goals/match
0.56 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/101.8 goals/match
3.02 xG/match▲Expected goals6/71.71 xG/match
18.1 shots/match▲Shots9/1012.2 shots/match
7.11 shots/match▲Shots on target9/105.1 shots/match
53.8%Possession9/1055.9%
6.44 corners/matchCorners9/104.1 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/53.4 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls9/1014.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 6 matches
2.63 goals/match▲Goals scored8/61.33 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/62 goals/match
3.02 xG/match▲Expected goals6/51.53 xG/match
18.4 shots/match▲Shots8/69.5 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots on target8/63.83 shots/match
53.5%Possession8/656.5%
6.38 corners/matchCorners8/63.67 corners/match
—Cards2/2—
16.6 fouls/matchFouls8/615.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsVancouver WhitecapsColorado Rapids
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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