Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 01:30 UTCFull timeSnapdragon StadiumFull-time recap

San Diego

DLLLL

1–2Full-time recap

Portland Timbers

LDLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	San Diego	Portland Timbers
Shots	10 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.43 xG/match▲	1.13 xG/match
Possession	67%	33%
Corners	6 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: San Diego's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Diego. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

San Diego's recent record differs from the season

moderate

San Diego's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.7 goals/match	1.65 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Diego.

3.04 days▲Rest daysSan Diego · Portland Timbers7.04 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	San Diego	Portland Timbers	Baseline
Rest days	3.04 days	7.04 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

San Diego have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.8%▲PossessionSan Diego · Portland Timbers45.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	San Diego	Portland Timbers	Baseline
Possession	63.8%	45.2%	49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

San Diego favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Portland Timbers in 2 · 4 too close

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/91.44 goals/match

1.7 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/92.11 goals/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/61.21 xG/match

2.24 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/6▲1.77 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/9▲11 shots/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/918.2 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/94.33 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/96.56 shots/match

63.8%Possessionseason · 10/945.2%

5.1 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/94 corners/match

3.7 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/97.67 corners/match

2.71 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 7/53 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/99.78 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

30%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/90%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/978%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

San Diego98.3

Portland Timbers25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

San Diego30.5

Portland Timbers33.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

San Diego34.4

Portland Timbers9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

San Diego5

Portland Timbers45

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

San Diego54.2

Portland Timbers48.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 78%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

San Diego58.3

Portland Timbers23.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

San Diego32.9

Portland Timbers24.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.03 xG/match

9.8 shots/matchShots5/510.2 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match

62.8%Possession5/544%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match

3.33 cards/matchCards3/1—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 9 matches

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/91.44 goals/match

1.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/92.11 goals/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.21 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots10/9▲11 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/94.33 shots/match

63.8%Possession10/945.2%

5.1 corners/matchCorners10/94 corners/match

2.71 cards/matchCards7/53 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/99.78 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 9 matches

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/91.44 goals/match

1.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/92.11 goals/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.21 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots10/9▲11 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/94.33 shots/match

63.8%Possession10/945.2%

5.1 corners/matchCorners10/94 corners/match

2.71 cards/matchCards7/53 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/99.78 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals3/41.33 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match

64.6%Possession5/545%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/2—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples10 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

San Diego's recent record differs from the season

Recent scheduling adds useful context

The teams have contrasting possession records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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