Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer · 2026Houston Dynamo 1–0 San Diego FC · Major League Soccer
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Houston Dynamo won 1–0.
- Shots
- 11–9
- Shots on target
- 3–1
- Expected goals
- 0.85–1.34
- Possession
- 29%–71%
Full time
What the match recorded
Houston Dynamo beat San Diego 1–0. Recorded in this match (Houston Dynamo – San Diego): shots 11–9, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.85–1.34, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
San Diego's recent record differs from the season
moderateSan Diego's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 goal/match | 1.78 goals/match | 1.64 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Diego.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Houston Dynamo | San Diego | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 4.04 days | 3.96 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateSan Diego have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.3 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Houston Dynamo | San Diego | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 41.1% | 63.4% | 49.6% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Houston Dynamo favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · San Diego FC in 4 · 4 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Houston Dynamo / San Diego FC
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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