PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeToyota StadiumFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC DallasMinnesota United FC
Shots15 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.68 xG/match0.98 xG/match▲
Possession49%51%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Dallas, Minnesota United FC. A second useful context is: Minnesota United FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Dallas, Minnesota United FC.

4 days▲Rest daysFC Dallas · Minnesota United FC4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFC DallasMinnesota United FCBaseline
Rest days4 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Minnesota United FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Minnesota United FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match▲ShotsFC Dallas · Minnesota United FC12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC DallasMinnesota United FCBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against8.67 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Dallas's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Dallas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.89 goals/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Dallas favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Minnesota United FC in 2 · 5 too close

1.89 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/91.22 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91.44 goals/match
1.63 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/61.46 xG/match
1.29 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.76 xG/match
13.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/912.2 shots/match
8.67 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/914.4 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/94.44 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/94.78 shots/match
45.2%Possessionseason · 9/942.7%
4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/94.11 corners/match
4.89 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/96.11 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/41.25 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/913.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲44%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲78%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Dallas15
Minnesota United FC8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Dallas61.7
Minnesota United FC34.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Dallas78.3
Minnesota United FC47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Dallas81.7
Minnesota United FC75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Dallas63.4
Minnesota United FC38.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 72%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Dallas41.7
Minnesota United FC30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Dallas60.4
Minnesota United FC46.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.54 xG/match
14 shots/match▲Shots5/512.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
48.2%Possession5/540.8%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
—Cards1/1—
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1.89 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.22 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.44 goals/match
1.63 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.46 xG/match
13.2 shots/match▲Shots9/912.2 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target9/94.44 shots/match
45.2%Possession9/942.7%
4.33 corners/matchCorners9/94.11 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls9/913.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1.89 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91.22 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.44 goals/match
1.63 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.46 xG/match
13.2 shots/match▲Shots9/912.2 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target9/94.44 shots/match
45.2%Possession9/942.7%
4.33 corners/matchCorners9/94.11 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls9/913.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches
1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/61.33 goals/match
1.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/62.17 goals/match
1.59 xG/match▲Expected goals5/41.36 xG/match
12.9 shots/match▲Shots7/611.3 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target7/64.33 shots/match
45.6%Possession7/643.8%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/64.17 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/31 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls7/614.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFC DallasMinnesota United FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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