Major League Soccer · 2026Toyota Stadium

FC Dallas 0–1 Minnesota United · Major League Soccer

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Minnesota United won 0–1.

Shots
155
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.680.98
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Minnesota United FC beat FC Dallas 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Dallas – Minnesota United FC): shots 15–5, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.68–0.98, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Dallas, Minnesota United FC.

4 days ▲Rest daysFC Dallas · Minnesota United FC4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFC DallasMinnesota United FCBaseline
Rest days4 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Minnesota United FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Minnesota United FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Dallas · Minnesota United FC12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC DallasMinnesota United FCBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against8.67 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Dallas's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Dallas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.89 goals/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots5 shotsFC Dallas 15 shots, Minnesota United 5 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsFC Dallas 2 shots, Minnesota United 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.68 xG0.98 xGFC Dallas 0.68 xG, Minnesota United 0.98 xG
  • Possession49%51%FC Dallas 49%, Minnesota United 51%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersFC Dallas 4 corners, Minnesota United 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsFC Dallas 8 fouls, Minnesota United 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsFC Dallas 2 cards, Minnesota United 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Dallas
3Draws
1Minnesota United
FC Dallas — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer1–2
Minnesota United — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer0–0
FC Dallas — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer5–3
Minnesota United — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer1–1
Minnesota United — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Dallas favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Minnesota United in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Dallas9 matchesMinnesota United9 matches
1.89 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.22 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.44 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.46 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots9/912.2 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target9/94.44 shots/match
45.2% ●Possession9/942.7%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners9/94.11 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls9/913.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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