PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 20:45 UTCFull timeAllianz FieldFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMinnesota United FCLos Angeles FC
Shots24 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.88 xG/match▲0.8 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners11 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Minnesota United FC, Los Angeles FC. A second useful context is: Minnesota United FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Minnesota United FC, Los Angeles FC.

2.84 days▲Rest daysMinnesota United FC · Los Angeles FC2.76 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMinnesota United FCLos Angeles FCBaseline
Rest days2.84 days2.76 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Minnesota United FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Minnesota United FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.65 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Minnesota United FC have a visible home split

weak

Minnesota United FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Minnesota United FC favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Los Angeles FC in 8 · 5 too close

1.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/10▲0.6 goals/match
1.52 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/71.01 xG/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/7▲1.19 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1013 shots/match
13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1013.1 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/10▲4.7 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/10▲4 shots/match
44.6%Possessionseason · 10/1045.1%
4.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/105.1 corners/match
5.7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/10▲5.3 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/32 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1012.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
40%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/10▲80%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/10▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Minnesota United FC11.7
Los Angeles FC18.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Minnesota United FC37.8
Los Angeles FC53.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Minnesota United FC45
Los Angeles FC66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Minnesota United FC85
Los Angeles FC78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United FC39.1
Los Angeles FC41.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 65%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United FC46.7
Los Angeles FC60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Minnesota United FC54.6
Los Angeles FC53.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.72 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.05 xG/match
15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/512.6 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match
46.8%Possession5/540.8%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
—Cards1/0—
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.6 goals/match
1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.01 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots10/1013 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.7 shots/match
44.6%Possession10/1045.1%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.1 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.6 goals/match
1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.01 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots10/1013 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.7 shots/match
44.6%Possession10/1045.1%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.1 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1 goals/match
0.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/40.5 goals/match
1.74 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.9 xG/match
16.5 shots/match▲Shots4/413.5 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.75 shots/match
45.8%Possession4/447.3%
5.75 corners/matchCorners4/45.25 corners/match
—Cards1/1—
11 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.84 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.76 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 00:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMinnesota United FCLos Angeles FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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