PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeNu StadiumFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricInter MiamiNew England Revolution
Shots18 shots/match▲16 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Expected goals3 xG/match▲1.54 xG/match
Possession68%32%
Corners7 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter Miami's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter Miami, New England Revolution. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Inter Miami have a visible home split

weak

Inter Miami's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter Miami, New England Revolution.

2.92 days▲Rest daysInter Miami · New England Revolution2.99 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricInter MiamiNew England RevolutionBaseline
Rest days2.92 days2.99 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Inter Miami show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter Miami's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.2 shots/match▲ShotsInter Miami · New England Revolution9.44 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInter MiamiNew England RevolutionBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match9.44 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Inter Miami favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · New England Revolution in 3 · 4 too close

1.9 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/91.89 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/9▲1.33 goals/match
1.98 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/71.31 xG/match
1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/71.55 xG/match
15.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/99.44 shots/match
11.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/914.9 shots/match
6.2 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/94.22 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/96.44 shots/match
57.8%Possessionseason · 10/945.7%
5.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/92.44 corners/match
3.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/95.22 corners/match
3 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/32.67 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/912 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/9▲22%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/9▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter Miami95
New England Revolution28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter Miami86.1
New England Revolution33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter Miami63.3
New England Revolution36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter Miami61.7
New England Revolution11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami68.3
New England Revolution54.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami73.3
New England Revolution1.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter Miami76.2
New England Revolution18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
2.29 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.29 xG/match
17 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match
55.4%Possession5/544.8%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/52 corners/match
—Cards1/0—
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 9 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/91.89 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/9▲1.33 goals/match
1.98 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.31 xG/match
15.2 shots/match▲Shots10/99.44 shots/match
6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/94.22 shots/match
57.8%Possession10/945.7%
5.6 corners/matchCorners10/92.44 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/32.67 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/912 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 9 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/91.89 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/9▲1.33 goals/match
1.98 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.31 xG/match
15.2 shots/match▲Shots10/99.44 shots/match
6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/94.22 shots/match
57.8%Possession10/945.7%
5.6 corners/matchCorners10/92.44 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/32.67 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/912 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 5 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/51 goals/match
1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/52 goals/match
2.88 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.28 xG/match
20 shots/match▲Shots3/58 shots/match
8.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/53.4 shots/match
63%Possession3/543.4%
8.67 corners/matchCorners3/53 corners/match
—Cards0/2—
9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/511.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.99 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples10 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsInter MiamiNew England Revolution
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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