Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 01:30 UTCFull timeAmerica First FieldFull-time recap

Real Salt Lake

WWDWW

0–2Full-time recap

Inter Miami

DWDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Salt Lake	Inter Miami
Shots	11 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.88 xG/match	1.56 xG/match▲
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	2 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Salt Lake. A second useful context is: Inter Miami's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Salt Lake.

4 days▲Rest daysReal Salt Lake · Inter Miami4.21 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Real Salt Lake	Inter Miami	Baseline
Rest days	4 days	4.21 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Inter Miami's recent record differs from the season

weak

Inter Miami's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Inter Miami have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.9%▲PossessionReal Salt Lake · Inter Miami56.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Real Salt Lake	Inter Miami	Baseline
Possession	45.9%	56.7%	49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Salt Lake favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Inter Miami in 4 · 7 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/92 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/91.56 goals/match

2.17 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/61.81 xG/match

1.09 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/61.19 xG/match

16.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/914.9 shots/match

12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/9▲11.1 shots/match

5.88 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/95.78 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/9▲4.11 shots/match

45.9%Possessionseason · 8/956.7%

4.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/95.44 corners/match

5.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/9▲3.89 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/43 cards/match

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/912 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/9▲22%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/978%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Salt Lake18.3

Inter Miami88.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Salt Lake85

Inter Miami82.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Salt Lake51.7

Inter Miami66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Salt Lake98.3

Inter Miami65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Salt Lake55.9

Inter Miami64.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 72%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Salt Lake45

Inter Miami70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Salt Lake64.2

Inter Miami70.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

2.17 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.98 xG/match

18.6 shots/matchShots5/517.8 shots/match

7.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/56.6 shots/match

49.8%Possession5/552.4%

5 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 9 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored8/92 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/91.56 goals/match

2.17 xG/match▲Expected goals5/61.81 xG/match

16.3 shots/match▲Shots8/914.9 shots/match

5.88 shots/matchShots on target8/95.78 shots/match

45.9%Possession8/956.7%

4.63 corners/matchCorners8/95.44 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/43 cards/match

11.8 fouls/matchFouls8/912 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 9 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored8/92 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/91.56 goals/match

2.17 xG/match▲Expected goals5/61.81 xG/match

16.3 shots/match▲Shots8/914.9 shots/match

5.88 shots/matchShots on target8/95.78 shots/match

45.9%Possession8/956.7%

4.63 corners/matchCorners8/95.44 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/43 cards/match

11.8 fouls/matchFouls8/912 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 7 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/72 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/71.43 goals/match

1.95 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.31 xG/match

17.6 shots/match▲Shots5/713.1 shots/match

6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/75.29 shots/match

49.2%Possession5/755.6%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/74.29 corners/match

—Cards1/43 cards/match

12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/713.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.21 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Inter Miami's recent record differs from the season

The teams have contrasting possession records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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