Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeScottsMiracle-Gro FieldFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricColumbus CrewPhiladelphia Union
Shots7 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.25 xG/match0.73 xG/match
Possession56%44%
Corners2 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Columbus Crew, Philadelphia Union. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Philadelphia Union's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.65 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Columbus Crew, Philadelphia Union.

3 daysRest daysColumbus Crew · Philadelphia Union3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricColumbus CrewPhiladelphia UnionBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.1 corners/matchCornersColumbus Crew · Philadelphia Union6.3 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricColumbus CrewPhiladelphia UnionBaseline
Corners6.1 corners/match6.3 corners/match4.8 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Columbus Crew favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Philadelphia Union in 3 · 3 too close

1.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/100.9 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/101.7 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.19 xG/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.58 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1013.8 shots/match
8.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/109 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/103.7 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/103.8 shots/match
54.7%Possessionseason · 10/1048.7%
6.1 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/106.3 corners/match
3.9 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/102.5 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/43.5 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1015.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1010%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1060%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Columbus Crew81.7
Philadelphia Union48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Columbus Crew39.4
Philadelphia Union28.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Columbus Crew87.2
Philadelphia Union71.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Columbus Crew28.3
Philadelphia Union75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew11.7
Philadelphia Union96.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 70%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew81.7
Philadelphia Union85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Columbus Crew47.5
Philadelphia Union65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.07 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots5/514.2 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
54.4%Possession5/546.8%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
Cards1/1
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/517.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.19 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots10/1013.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/103.7 shots/match
54.7%Possession10/1048.7%
6.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.3 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.19 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots10/1013.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/103.7 shots/match
54.7%Possession10/1048.7%
6.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.3 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/61.17 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/62 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.22 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots5/613.2 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/63.67 shots/match
57%Possession5/646.8%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/64.67 corners/match
Cards2/2
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/617.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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