Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 20:45 UTCFull timeProvidence ParkFull-time recap

Portland Timbers

LLLDL

2–1Full-time recap

Los Angeles FC

WWWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Portland Timbers	Los Angeles FC
Shots	11 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.55 xG/match▲	0.8 xG/match
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	1 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Los Angeles FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Los Angeles FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Los Angeles FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match▲ShotsPortland Timbers · Los Angeles FC14.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Portland Timbers	Los Angeles FC	Baseline
Shots	10.7 shots/match	14.6 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	19.6 shots/match	12.7 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Portland Timbers favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Los Angeles FC in 8 · 6 too close

1.57 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/7▲2.14 goals/match

2.29 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/7▲0.29 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.25 xG/match

1.7 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.16 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/7▲14.6 shots/match

19.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/7▲12.7 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/7▲5.14 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/7▲4.14 shots/match

45.4%Possessionseason · 7/747.4%

3.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/75.71 corners/match

8.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/7▲5.14 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/32 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/711.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/7▲86%

86%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/786%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Portland Timbers25

Los Angeles FC35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Portland Timbers40

Los Angeles FC76.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Portland Timbers6.7

Los Angeles FC71.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Portland Timbers41.7

Los Angeles FC95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers48.4

Los Angeles FC43.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 71%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers10

Los Angeles FC65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Portland Timbers21.7

Los Angeles FC63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.25 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.8 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match

45.2%Possession5/545.8%

2.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

3.67 cards/matchCards3/1—

10 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches

1.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲2.14 goals/match

2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.29 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.25 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots7/7▲14.6 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲5.14 shots/match

45.4%Possession7/747.4%

3.71 corners/matchCorners7/75.71 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards5/32 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls7/711.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches

1.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲2.14 goals/match

2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.29 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.25 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots7/7▲14.6 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲5.14 shots/match

45.4%Possession7/747.4%

3.71 corners/matchCorners7/75.71 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards5/32 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls7/711.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/31 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/3▲0.67 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

9.5 shots/matchShots4/3▲15.7 shots/match

4.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/34 shots/match

45.5%Possession4/350.3%

3 corners/matchCorners4/36.33 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/1—

8.75 fouls/matchFouls4/310.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.8 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 00:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Los Angeles FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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