Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 18:30 UTCFull timeQ2 StadiumFull-time recap

Austin

WLLDD
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAustinLos Angeles Galaxy
Shots12 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals0.65 xG/match0.73 xG/match
Possession61%39%
Corners6 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Los Angeles Galaxy's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Austin's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Los Angeles Galaxy show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Los Angeles Galaxy's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/matchShotsAustin · Los Angeles Galaxy15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAustinLos Angeles GalaxyBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match15.6 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match8.57 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Austin have a visible home split

weak

Austin's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.5 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match10.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Los Angeles Galaxy's recent record differs from the season

weak

Los Angeles Galaxy's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Austin favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Los Angeles Galaxy in 7 · 6 too close

1.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/71.43 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/71.57 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.64 xG/match
1.77 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.8 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/715.6 shots/match
16.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/78.57 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/77.29 shots/match
5.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/73.29 shots/match
48%Possessionseason · 7/753%
5.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/76.29 corners/match
7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/72.86 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/42.75 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/710 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Austin41.7
Los Angeles Galaxy71.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Austin24.5
Los Angeles Galaxy78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Austin28.3
Los Angeles Galaxy76.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Austin25
Los Angeles Galaxy81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Austin30.8
Los Angeles Galaxy44.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 71%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Austin63.3
Los Angeles Galaxy83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Austin31.2
Los Angeles Galaxy70.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.64 xG/match
9.2 shots/matchShots5/517.4 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/56.6 shots/match
44.8%Possession5/554.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/57.8 corners/match
Cards1/2
10 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.43 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.64 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots7/715.6 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target7/77.29 shots/match
48%Possession7/753%
5.57 corners/matchCorners7/76.29 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/42.75 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls7/710 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.43 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.64 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots7/715.6 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target7/77.29 shots/match
48%Possession7/753%
5.57 corners/matchCorners7/76.29 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/42.75 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls7/710 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/31.33 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/32 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
12.5 shots/matchShots4/316.3 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/37 shots/match
58.8%Possession4/350.7%
7.25 corners/matchCorners4/36.67 corners/match
Cards2/2
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/39.33 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.67 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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