Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 02:30 UTCFull timeDignity Health Sports ParkFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLos Angeles GalaxyMinnesota United FC
Shots20 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.99 xG/match1.42 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners9 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Los Angeles Galaxy's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Minnesota United FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Los Angeles Galaxy show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Los Angeles Galaxy's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/matchShotsLos Angeles Galaxy · Minnesota United FC11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLos Angeles GalaxyMinnesota United FCBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match11.2 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against8 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Minnesota United FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Minnesota United FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Los Angeles Galaxy have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.3%PossessionLos Angeles Galaxy · Minnesota United FC42.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLos Angeles GalaxyMinnesota United FCBaseline
Possession55.3%42.2%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Los Angeles Galaxy favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Minnesota United FC in 1 · 5 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/61 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/62 goals/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.15 xG/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/32.24 xG/match
16.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/611.2 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/614.2 shots/match
7.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/63.67 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/65.5 shots/match
55.3%Possessionseason · 6/642.2%
6.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64.33 corners/match
2.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/67.17 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/31.33 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/613 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Los Angeles Galaxy78.3
Minnesota United FC8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Los Angeles Galaxy76.1
Minnesota United FC23.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Los Angeles Galaxy75.5
Minnesota United FC25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Los Angeles Galaxy81.7
Minnesota United FC58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles Galaxy45.9
Minnesota United FC34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 75%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles Galaxy81.7
Minnesota United FC31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Los Angeles Galaxy70.8
Minnesota United FC36.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.15 xG/match
17.8 shots/matchShots5/511.2 shots/match
7.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
59.2%Possession5/542%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/2
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/61 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.15 xG/match
16.2 shots/matchShots6/611.2 shots/match
7.33 shots/matchShots on target6/63.67 shots/match
55.3%Possession6/642.2%
6.33 corners/matchCorners6/64.33 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/31.33 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls6/613 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/61 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.15 xG/match
16.2 shots/matchShots6/611.2 shots/match
7.33 shots/matchShots on target6/63.67 shots/match
55.3%Possession6/642.2%
6.33 corners/matchCorners6/64.33 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/31.33 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls6/613 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.25 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/43 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
15 shots/matchShots4/410.5 shots/match
7.5 shots/matchShots on target4/43.75 shots/match
54.8%Possession4/444%
6 corners/matchCorners4/44.25 corners/match
Cards2/2
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/415.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.3 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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