PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 02:30 UTCFull timePayPal ParkFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesSan Diego
Shots24 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals3.31 xG/match▲0.31 xG/match
Possession40%60%
Corners7 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: San Jose Earthquakes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: San Diego's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible home split

weak

San Jose Earthquakes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match15 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

San Diego show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

San Diego's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/match▲ShotsSan Jose Earthquakes · San Diego9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesSan DiegoBaseline
Shots15 shots/match9.5 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against8.33 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

San Diego's recent record differs from the season

moderate

San Diego's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.17 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

San Jose Earthquakes favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · San Diego in 2 · 6 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲2.17 goals/match
0.17 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.33 goals/match
1.88 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.27 xG/match
0.6 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/33.03 xG/match
15 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/69.5 shots/match
8.33 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/612.3 shots/match
5.67 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/64.67 shots/match
2.67 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/65.33 shots/match
47%Possessionseason · 6/664%
8.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/65 corners/match
4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲4 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/52.4 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/612.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
83%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/650%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

San Jose Earthquakes38.3
San Diego98.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

San Jose Earthquakes72.8
San Diego45.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

San Jose Earthquakes93.3
San Diego51.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

San Jose Earthquakes95
San Diego5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

San Jose Earthquakes41.6
San Diego59.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 83%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

San Jose Earthquakes98.3
San Diego48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

San Jose Earthquakes78.3
San Diego39.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.88 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.27 xG/match
14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59.4 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
47.6%Possession5/563%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/42.75 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2.17 goals/match
0.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
1.88 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.27 xG/match
15 shots/match▲Shots6/69.5 shots/match
5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.67 shots/match
47%Possession6/664%
8.67 corners/matchCorners6/65 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards4/52.4 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2.17 goals/match
0.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
1.88 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.27 xG/match
15 shots/match▲Shots6/69.5 shots/match
5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.67 shots/match
47%Possession6/664%
8.67 corners/matchCorners6/65 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards4/52.4 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored4/31.33 goals/match
0.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/32 goals/match
—Expected goals2/2—
19.3 shots/match▲Shots4/38 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots on target4/33.33 shots/match
48.3%Possession4/364%
11.5 corners/matchCorners4/33.67 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/2—
12 fouls/matchFouls4/312.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.2 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSan Jose EarthquakesSan Diego
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match