PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 02:30 UTCFull timeBC PlaceFull-time recap
3–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVancouver WhitecapsPortland Timbers
Shots22 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals3.03 xG/match▲0.51 xG/match
Possession61%39%
Corners7 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Portland Timbers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match▲ShotsVancouver Whitecaps · Portland Timbers10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVancouver WhitecapsPortland TimbersBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match10.7 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against7.33 shots/match19.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Portland Timbers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Portland Timbers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Portland Timbers have a visible away split

weak

Portland Timbers's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match10.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Vancouver Whitecaps
0Draws
0Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer1–4

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Vancouver Whitecaps favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Portland Timbers in 0 · 6 too close

2.83 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/61.5 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/62.5 goals/match
2.7 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.02 xG/match
0.75 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/32 xG/match
15.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/610.7 shots/match
7.33 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/619.8 shots/match
6.67 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/64.17 shots/match
2.67 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/67.33 shots/match
57.8%Possessionseason · 6/643.3%
5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64.17 corners/match
3.83 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/68.83 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/53 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/610.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/60%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Vancouver Whitecaps88.3
Portland Timbers15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Vancouver Whitecaps92.2
Portland Timbers37.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Vancouver Whitecaps92.2
Portland Timbers5.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Vancouver Whitecaps65
Portland Timbers48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Vancouver Whitecaps67.5
Portland Timbers49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 75%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Vancouver Whitecaps58.3
Portland Timbers25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Vancouver Whitecaps82.1
Portland Timbers24.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match
2.7 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.02 xG/match
16 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
57.6%Possession5/542.8%
5 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
—Cards2/43.5 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
2.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.5 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.5 goals/match
2.7 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.02 xG/match
15.5 shots/match▲Shots6/610.7 shots/match
6.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.17 shots/match
57.8%Possession6/643.3%
5.33 corners/matchCorners6/64.17 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/53 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls6/610.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
2.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.5 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.5 goals/match
2.7 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.02 xG/match
15.5 shots/match▲Shots6/610.7 shots/match
6.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.17 shots/match
57.8%Possession6/643.3%
5.33 corners/matchCorners6/64.17 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/53 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls6/610.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 3 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/31.33 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/32.67 goals/match
2.7 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—
15.4 shots/match▲Shots5/312.3 shots/match
6.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/35 shots/match
58.2%Possession5/345.3%
5 corners/matchCorners5/34.67 corners/match
—Cards2/2—
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/311.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.2 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsVancouver WhitecapsPortland Timbers
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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