Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 01:30 UTCFull timeBMO StadiumFull-time recap
60Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLos Angeles FCOrlando City SC
Shots17 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals2.44 xG/match0.72 xG/match
Possession43%57%
Corners8 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Los Angeles FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Orlando City SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Los Angeles FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Los Angeles FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/matchShotsLos Angeles FC · Orlando City SC11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLos Angeles FCOrlando City SCBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.2 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Orlando City SC have a visible away split

weak

Orlando City SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match11.2 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Los Angeles FC favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Orlando City SC in 0 · 5 too close

2.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/60.83 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/63.83 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.21 xG/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/32.14 xG/match
14 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/611.2 shots/match
13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/616.8 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/64.17 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/67.67 shots/match
48.3%Possessionseason · 6/641.8%
5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64 corners/match
5.83 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/67.5 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/33 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/610 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
100%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/60%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/650%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Los Angeles FC41.7
Orlando City SC5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Los Angeles FC75.6
Orlando City SC26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Los Angeles FC72.8
Orlando City SC3.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Los Angeles FC78.3
Orlando City SC61.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC43.3
Orlando City SC45.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 75%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC63.3
Orlando City SC18.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Los Angeles FC60.4
Orlando City SC23.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed5/54.2 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.21 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots5/510 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
51.6%Possession5/540.6%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards2/2
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
2.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/60.83 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed6/63.83 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.21 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots6/611.2 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on target6/64.17 shots/match
48.3%Possession6/641.8%
5.5 corners/matchCorners6/64 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls6/610 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
2.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/60.83 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed6/63.83 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.21 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots6/611.2 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on target6/64.17 shots/match
48.3%Possession6/641.8%
5.5 corners/matchCorners6/64 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls6/610 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored4/30 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed4/35.33 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
13.8 shots/matchShots4/38.33 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target4/32.67 shots/match
45.3%Possession4/343%
5.25 corners/matchCorners4/34.67 corners/match
Cards2/1
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/38.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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