PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Shell Energy Stadium

Houston Dynamo 0–1 Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Seattle Sounders FC won 0–1.

Shots
136
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.850.99
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Seattle Sounders beat Houston Dynamo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Houston Dynamo – Seattle Sounders): shots 13–6, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.85–0.99, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Seattle Sounders's recent record differs from the season

weak

Seattle Sounders's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Seattle Sounders have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.2%PossessionHouston Dynamo · Seattle Sounders● 50.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHouston DynamoSeattle SoundersBaseline
Possession42.2%50.5%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots6 shotsHouston Dynamo 13 shots, Seattle Sounders FC 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsHouston Dynamo 3 shots, Seattle Sounders FC 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG0.99 xGHouston Dynamo 0.85 xG, Seattle Sounders FC 0.99 xG
  • Possession45%55%Houston Dynamo 45%, Seattle Sounders FC 55%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersHouston Dynamo 9 corners, Seattle Sounders FC 3 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls14 foulsHouston Dynamo 5 fouls, Seattle Sounders FC 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsHouston Dynamo 1 card, Seattle Sounders FC 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Houston Dynamo
3Draws
2Seattle Sounders FC
Houston Dynamo — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer1–3
Seattle Sounders FC — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer0–0
Houston Dynamo — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer1–1
Seattle Sounders FC — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer0–0
Seattle Sounders FC — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Houston Dynamo favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Seattle Sounders FC in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Houston Dynamo5 matchesSeattle Sounders FC6 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/61 goal/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/6▲ 0.33 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.71 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/610 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/64 shots/match
42.2%Possession5/6● 50.5%
6.8 corners/match ●Corners5/64.83 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/610.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHouston DynamoSeattle Sounders FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headHouston Dynamo — Seattle Sounders FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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