Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeShell Energy StadiumFull-time recap

Houston Dynamo

WLWL

0–1Full-time recap

Seattle Sounders

WLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Houston Dynamo	Seattle Sounders
Shots	13 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.85 xG/match	0.99 xG/match▲
Possession	45%	55%
Corners	9 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	5 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Seattle Sounders's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Seattle Sounders have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Seattle Sounders's recent record differs from the season

weak

Seattle Sounders's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Seattle Sounders have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.2%▲PossessionHouston Dynamo · Seattle Sounders50.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Houston Dynamo	Seattle Sounders	Baseline
Possession	42.2%	50.5%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Houston Dynamo favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Seattle Sounders in 4 · 6 too close

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/61 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/6▲0.33 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.71 xG/match

1.5 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.16 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/610 shots/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/613.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/64 shots/match

5.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/6▲4.17 shots/match

42.2%Possessionseason · 5/650.5%

6.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/64.83 corners/match

5.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/67.83 corners/match

3.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/32 cards/match

9.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/610.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/6▲83%

60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/6▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Houston Dynamo11.7

Seattle Sounders53.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Houston Dynamo49.4

Seattle Sounders22.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Houston Dynamo35.5

Seattle Sounders62.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Houston Dynamo91.7

Seattle Sounders15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Houston Dynamo48.4

Seattle Sounders30.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 75%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Houston Dynamo91.7

Seattle Sounders41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Houston Dynamo45.9

Seattle Sounders26.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match

1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.71 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match

42.2%Possession5/552%

6.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

3.5 cards/matchCards4/2—

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 6 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/61 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/6▲0.33 goals/match

1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.71 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/610 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/64 shots/match

42.2%Possession5/650.5%

6.8 corners/matchCorners5/64.83 corners/match

3.5 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/610.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 6 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/61 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/6▲0.33 goals/match

1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.71 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/610 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/64 shots/match

42.2%Possession5/650.5%

6.8 corners/matchCorners5/64.83 corners/match

3.5 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/610.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/50.8 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲0.4 goals/match

—Expected goals2/30.71 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots4/59 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target4/53.8 shots/match

41.5%Possession4/552%

6.5 corners/matchCorners4/54.2 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards3/2—

8.5 fouls/matchFouls4/510.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.3 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Seattle Sounders's recent record differs from the season

The teams have contrasting possession records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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