New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer · 2026New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
New York Red Bulls won 4–2.
- Shots
- 18–17
- Shots on target
- 6–6
- Expected goals
- 1.8–2.05
- Possession
- 52%–48%
Full time
What the match recorded
New York Red Bulls beat FC Cincinnati 4–2. Recorded in this match (New York Red Bulls – FC Cincinnati): shots 18–17, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.8–2.05, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
New York Red Bulls show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateNew York Red Bulls's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | New York Red Bulls | FC Cincinnati | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 17.5 shots/match | 13.8 shots/match | 12 shots/match |
| Shots against | 12.7 shots/match | 14.3 shots/match | 12.4 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
New York Red Bulls have a visible home split
weakNew York Red Bulls's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14 shots/match | 17.5 shots/match | 12 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Both teams have elevated corners records
moderateEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | New York Red Bulls | FC Cincinnati | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 7.83 corners/match | 5.83 corners/match | 5 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: New York Red Bulls favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · FC Cincinnati in 2 · 4 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
New York Red Bulls / FC Cincinnati
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.