Inter Miami CF
Major League Soccer · 2026Inter Miami CF 2–2 Austin FC · Major League Soccer
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Inter Miami CF and Austin FC drew 2–2.
- Shots
- 26–9
- Shots on target
- 8–3
- Expected goals
- 3.5–1.68
- Possession
- 66%–34%
Full time
What the match recorded
Inter Miami and Austin drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Inter Miami – Austin): shots 26–9, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 3.5–1.68, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Inter Miami show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateInter Miami's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Inter Miami | Austin | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15.5 shots/match | 10.3 shots/match | 12 shots/match |
| Shots against | 11.7 shots/match | 17.2 shots/match | 12.4 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Austin have a visible away split
weakAustin's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 8 shots/match | 10.3 shots/match | 12 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Inter Miami's recent record differs from the season
weakInter Miami's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.2 goals/match | 1.83 goals/match | 1.5 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Inter Miami CF favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Austin FC in 3 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Inter Miami CF / Austin FC
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.