Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeMercedes-Benz StadiumFull-time recap

Atlanta United FC

LLLWD

1–3Full-time recap

Columbus Crew

LDDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Atlanta United FC	Columbus Crew
Shots	7 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.24 xG/match	1.52 xG/match▲
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	4 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atlanta United FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Atlanta United FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Atlanta United FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlanta United FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/match▲ShotsAtlanta United FC · Columbus Crew11.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Atlanta United FC	Columbus Crew	Baseline
Shots	9.5 shots/match	11.7 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	11 shots/match	9 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atlanta United FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atlanta United FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atlanta United FC favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Columbus Crew in 7 · 6 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲1.33 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.5 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.81 xG/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.08 xG/match

9.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲11.7 shots/match

11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲9 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲4.5 shots/match

3.83 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/64.67 shots/match

55.5%Possessionseason · 6/652.8%

3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/66.67 corners/match

5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲5 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.33 cards/match

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/610.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲67%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlanta United FC81.7

Columbus Crew68.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlanta United FC13.3

Columbus Crew42.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlanta United FC58.3

Columbus Crew63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlanta United FC8.3

Columbus Crew21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlanta United FC63.4

Columbus Crew15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 75%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlanta United FC8.3

Columbus Crew86.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlanta United FC23.3

Columbus Crew49.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.81 xG/match

9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲11 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

57.4%Possession5/552.6%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.33 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.5 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.81 xG/match

9.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲11.7 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4.5 shots/match

55.5%Possession6/652.8%

3.5 corners/matchCorners6/66.67 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match

13.3 fouls/matchFouls6/610.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.33 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.5 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.81 xG/match

9.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲11.7 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4.5 shots/match

55.5%Possession6/652.8%

3.5 corners/matchCorners6/66.67 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match

13.3 fouls/matchFouls6/610.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match

1.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

10.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲12.3 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5 shots/match

58.3%Possession4/452.5%

3.75 corners/matchCorners4/46.75 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls4/412 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.3 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Atlanta United FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

Atlanta United FC's recent record differs from the season

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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