Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeNu StadiumFull-time recap

Inter Miami

WWDWD

2–2Full-time recap

New York Red Bulls

WLDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Inter Miami	New York Red Bulls
Shots	16 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.14 xG/match▲	0.75 xG/match
Possession	55%	45%
Corners	12 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Inter Miami's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.14 corners/match▲CornersInter Miami · New York Red Bulls7.14 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Inter Miami	New York Red Bulls	Baseline
Corners	6.14 corners/match	7.14 corners/match	4.85 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Inter Miami show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter Miami's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match▲ShotsInter Miami · New York Red Bulls15.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Inter Miami	New York Red Bulls	Baseline
Shots	15.6 shots/match	15.7 shots/match	12.1 shots/match
Shots against	10.7 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Inter Miami favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · New York Red Bulls in 2 · 7 too close

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/71.57 goals/match

1.71 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/72.14 goals/match

2.02 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.81 xG/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.93 xG/match

15.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/715.7 shots/match

10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/713.1 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/7▲6.43 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/76.14 shots/match

60.3%Possessionseason · 7/757.7%

6.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/77.14 corners/match

4.29 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/75.71 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/51.8 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/711.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter Miami95

New York Red Bulls91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter Miami79.5

New York Red Bulls78.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter Miami60

New York Red Bulls27.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter Miami58.3

New York Red Bulls68.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami39.1

New York Red Bulls39.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 71%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami70

New York Red Bulls95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter Miami69.6

New York Red Bulls82.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.8 goals/match

2.02 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.81 xG/match

16.4 shots/match▲Shots5/515.2 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.6 shots/match

58.6%Possession5/557.4%

6.4 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match

—Cards1/31.67 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.57 goals/match

1.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72.14 goals/match

2.02 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.81 xG/match

15.6 shots/matchShots7/715.7 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲6.43 shots/match

60.3%Possession7/757.7%

6.14 corners/matchCorners7/77.14 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/51.8 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/711.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.57 goals/match

1.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72.14 goals/match

2.02 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.81 xG/match

15.6 shots/matchShots7/715.7 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲6.43 shots/match

60.3%Possession7/757.7%

6.14 corners/matchCorners7/77.14 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/51.8 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/711.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 4 matches

—Goals scored2/41.5 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/42.5 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.81 xG/match

—Shots2/417 shots/match

—Shots on target2/47.75 shots/match

—Possession2/455%

—Corners2/47.75 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

—Fouls2/412.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Both teams have elevated corners records

Inter Miami show a distinct attacking-volume record

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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