Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 18:30 UTCFull timeSaputo StadiumFull-time recap

CF Montreal

WLLLL

4–1Full-time recap

New York Red Bulls

LDLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	CF Montreal	New York Red Bulls
Shots	9 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.87 xG/match▲	0.56 xG/match
Possession	32%	68%
Corners	2 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	17 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: CF Montreal's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: New York Red Bulls have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

CF Montreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

CF Montreal's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.2 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

New York Red Bulls have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.1%▲PossessionCF Montreal · New York Red Bulls59%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.9 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	CF Montreal	New York Red Bulls	Baseline
Possession	48.1%	59%	49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1CF Montreal

0Draws

0New York Red Bulls

8 Mar 2026New York Red Bulls — CF Montreal · Major League Soccer0–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

CF Montreal favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · New York Red Bulls in 4 · 9 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/81.5 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲2.38 goals/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.56 xG/match

1.45 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/52.11 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲14.8 shots/match

12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/812.6 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲5.75 shots/match

6.13 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/86.13 shots/match

48.1%Possessionseason · 8/859%

3.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/87.13 corners/match

5.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/85.25 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/51.8 cards/match

14.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/811.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/813%

63%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

CF Montreal41.7

New York Red Bulls95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

CF Montreal31.7

New York Red Bulls75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

CF Montreal25.6

New York Red Bulls27.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

CF Montreal28.3

New York Red Bulls53.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

CF Montreal51.6

New York Red Bulls36.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 75%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

CF Montreal18.3

New York Red Bulls95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

CF Montreal38.8

New York Red Bulls79.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match

2.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/53 goals/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.56 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.4 shots/match

4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match

53%Possession5/557.6%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

16.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.5 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲2.38 goals/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.56 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots8/8▲14.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲5.75 shots/match

48.1%Possession8/859%

3.75 corners/matchCorners8/87.13 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards4/51.8 cards/match

14.5 fouls/matchFouls8/811.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.5 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲2.38 goals/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.56 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots8/8▲14.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲5.75 shots/match

48.1%Possession8/859%

3.75 corners/matchCorners8/87.13 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards4/51.8 cards/match

14.5 fouls/matchFouls8/811.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 5 matches

—Goals scored2/51.4 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/52.8 goals/match

—Expected goals2/41.5 xG/match

—Shots2/515.2 shots/match

—Shots on target2/56.4 shots/match

—Possession2/557.6%

—Corners2/57.6 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

—Fouls2/512.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.79 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

CF Montreal's recent record differs from the season

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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