PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Empower Field at Mile High

Colorado Rapids 2–3 Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Inter Miami CF won 2–3.

Shots
146
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.61.24
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter Miami beat Colorado Rapids 3–2. Recorded in this match (Colorado Rapids – Inter Miami): shots 14–6, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.6–1.24, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

weak

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsColorado Rapids 14 shots, Inter Miami CF 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsColorado Rapids 4 shots, Inter Miami CF 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.6 xG1.24 xGColorado Rapids 1.6 xG, Inter Miami CF 1.24 xG
  • Possession62%38%Colorado Rapids 62%, Inter Miami CF 38%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersColorado Rapids 3 corners, Inter Miami CF 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls19 foulsColorado Rapids 12 fouls, Inter Miami CF 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards5 cardsColorado Rapids 4 cards, Inter Miami CF 5 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Colorado Rapids
1Draws
0Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Colorado Rapids favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Inter Miami CF in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Colorado Rapids8 matchesInter Miami CF8 matches
2.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/82 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.75 goals/match
2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.86 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14.4 shots/match
5.75 shots/matchShots on target8/85.63 shots/match
54%Possession8/8● 57.5%
4.38 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.63 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards5/43 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls8/812.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsColorado RapidsInter Miami CF
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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