Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTCFull timeEmpower Field at Mile HighFull-time recap
23Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricColorado RapidsInter Miami
Shots14 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.6 xG/match1.24 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners3 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match19 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

weak

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Colorado Rapids favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Inter Miami in 6 · 5 too close

2.63 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/82 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/81.75 goals/match
2.01 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.86 xG/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.26 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/814.4 shots/match
13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/811.1 shots/match
5.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/85.63 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/84.13 shots/match
54%Possessionseason · 8/857.5%
4.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/85.63 corners/match
5.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/84.13 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/43 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/812.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/813%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/875%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Colorado Rapids75
Inter Miami91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Colorado Rapids80
Inter Miami76.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Colorado Rapids33.9
Inter Miami61.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Colorado Rapids41.7
Inter Miami50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids91.7
Inter Miami71.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 75%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids33.3
Inter Miami58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Colorado Rapids67.5
Inter Miami67.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
2.01 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.86 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots5/516 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match
53.6%Possession5/553.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match
Cards2/1
16.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
2.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/82 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
2.01 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.86 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots8/814.4 shots/match
5.75 shots/matchShots on target8/85.63 shots/match
54%Possession8/857.5%
4.38 corners/matchCorners8/85.63 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards5/43 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls8/812.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
2.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/82 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
2.01 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.86 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots8/814.4 shots/match
5.75 shots/matchShots on target8/85.63 shots/match
54%Possession8/857.5%
4.38 corners/matchCorners8/85.63 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards5/43 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls8/812.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 6 matches
3.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/62 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/61.67 goals/match
Expected goals2/31.23 xG/match
16.3 shots/matchShots4/612.2 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on target4/65 shots/match
55%Possession4/656.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/64.33 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/43 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls4/614 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.88 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath