PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United 0–2 Nashville SC · Major League Soccer

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Nashville SC won 0–2.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
0.621.73
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nashville SC beat Atlanta United FC 2–0. Recorded in this match (Atlanta United FC – Nashville SC): shots 13–17, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 0.62–1.73, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlanta United FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlanta United FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlanta United FC · Nashville SC12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlanta United FCNashville SCBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match9.38 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Nashville SC have a visible away split

moderate

Nashville SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsAtlanta United 13 shots, Nashville SC 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsAtlanta United 4 shots, Nashville SC 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.62 xG1.73 xGAtlanta United 0.62 xG, Nashville SC 1.73 xG
  • Possession55%45%Atlanta United 55%, Nashville SC 45%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersAtlanta United 5 corners, Nashville SC 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls6 foulsAtlanta United 10 fouls, Nashville SC 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsAtlanta United 2 cards, Nashville SC 0 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Atlanta United
2Draws
1Nashville SC
Nashville SC — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer0–1
Atlanta United — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer1–1
Atlanta United — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer0–2
Nashville SC — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer1–1
Atlanta United — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlanta United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Nashville SC in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlanta United8 matchesNashville SC8 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.13 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.46 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.63 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession8/853.4%
4.63 corners/match ●Corners8/84 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls8/812.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlanta UnitedNashville SC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headAtlanta United — Nashville SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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