Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeMercedes-Benz StadiumFull-time recap

Atlanta United FC

LWDLL

0–2Full-time recap

Nashville SC

WWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Atlanta United FC	Nashville SC
Shots	13 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.62 xG/match	1.73 xG/match▲
Possession	55%	45%
Corners	5 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	6 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atlanta United FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Nashville SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Atlanta United FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlanta United FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match▲ShotsAtlanta United FC · Nashville SC12.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Atlanta United FC	Nashville SC	Baseline
Shots	11.1 shots/match	12.6 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	12.6 shots/match	9.38 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Nashville SC have a visible away split

moderate

Nashville SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.4 shots/match	12.6 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atlanta United FC favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Nashville SC in 11 · 3 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲2.13 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲0.5 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲1.46 xG/match

1.57 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲0.97 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲12.6 shots/match

12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲9.38 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲5.63 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲2.38 shots/match

55.3%Possessionseason · 8/853.4%

4.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/84 corners/match

5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲3.5 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.67 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/812.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲50%

38%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲75%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlanta United FC85

Nashville SC71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlanta United FC18.3

Nashville SC67.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlanta United FC52.8

Nashville SC86.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlanta United FC11.7

Nashville SC35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlanta United FC50.8

Nashville SC40.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 69%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlanta United FC45

Nashville SC23.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlanta United FC33.7

Nashville SC51.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.46 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6 shots/match

56%Possession5/552.2%

5.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches

0.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲2.13 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.5 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.46 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots8/8▲12.6 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲5.63 shots/match

55.3%Possession8/853.4%

4.63 corners/matchCorners8/84 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls8/812.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches

0.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲2.13 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.5 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.46 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots8/8▲12.6 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲5.63 shots/match

55.3%Possession8/853.4%

4.63 corners/matchCorners8/84 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls8/812.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.01 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

57.6%Possession5/551.4%

4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Atlanta United FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

Nashville SC have a visible away split

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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