PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeGillette StadiumFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNew England RevolutionColumbus Crew
Shots10 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.23 xG/match▲0.94 xG/match
Possession48%52%
Corners3 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

New England Revolution show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.86 shots/match▲ShotsNew England Revolution · Columbus Crew12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNew England RevolutionColumbus CrewBaseline
Shots8.86 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match8.63 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

New England Revolution have a visible home split

weak

New England Revolution's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season8.86 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match8.86 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New England Revolution favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Columbus Crew in 6 · 4 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/81.25 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/81.5 goals/match
1.3 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/50.91 xG/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.02 xG/match
8.86 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/8▲12.6 shots/match
13.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/8▲8.63 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/8▲4.75 shots/match
5.57 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/8▲4 shots/match
46.4%Possessionseason · 7/854.3%
2.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/86.88 corners/match
4.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/8▲4.25 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.33 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/810.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/813%
86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 7/875%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New England Revolution28.3
Columbus Crew78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New England Revolution32.8
Columbus Crew38.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New England Revolution42.8
Columbus Crew75.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New England Revolution8.3
Columbus Crew28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution66.7
Columbus Crew16.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 69%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution1.7
Columbus Crew88.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New England Revolution22.9
Columbus Crew51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.3 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.91 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
49%Possession5/554.4%
2 corners/matchCorners5/57.2 corners/match
—Cards1/0—
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 8 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored7/81.25 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/81.5 goals/match
1.3 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.91 xG/match
8.86 shots/matchShots7/8▲12.6 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲4.75 shots/match
46.4%Possession7/854.3%
2.57 corners/matchCorners7/86.88 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls7/810.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 8 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored7/81.25 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/81.5 goals/match
1.3 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.91 xG/match
8.86 shots/matchShots7/8▲12.6 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲4.75 shots/match
46.4%Possession7/854.3%
2.57 corners/matchCorners7/86.88 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls7/810.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches
3 goals/match▲Goals scored4/51.8 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/52 goals/match
1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals4/31.05 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots4/5▲12 shots/match
5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/54.8 shots/match
48.5%Possession4/552.4%
1.75 corners/matchCorners4/56.8 corners/match
—Cards1/2—
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/512 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.02 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsNew England RevolutionColumbus Crew
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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