PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeSubaru ParkFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPhiladelphia UnionDC United
Shots18 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Expected goals1.34 xG/match▲0.66 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners13 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: DC United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Philadelphia Union's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

DC United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

DC United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match▲ShotsPhiladelphia Union · DC United9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPhiladelphia UnionDC UnitedBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match9.75 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against8.88 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.4 fouls/match▲FoulsPhiladelphia Union · DC United13.8 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricPhiladelphia UnionDC UnitedBaseline
Fouls15.4 fouls/match13.8 fouls/match12.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Philadelphia Union
0Draws
1DC United
DC United — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Philadelphia Union favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · DC United in 3 · 3 too close

0.75 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/80.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.13 goals/match
1.35 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/50.88 xG/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.22 xG/match
14.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/89.75 shots/match
8.88 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/813 shots/match
3.75 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/82.38 shots/match
3.75 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/84.75 shots/match
50.9%Possessionseason · 8/841%
7.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/84 corners/match
2.63 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/85.25 corners/match
4 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/813.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲38%
63%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/838%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Philadelphia Union61.7
DC United1.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Philadelphia Union35.5
DC United3.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Philadelphia Union77.2
DC United57.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Philadelphia Union75
DC United38.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Philadelphia Union98.3
DC United60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 69%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Philadelphia Union93.3
DC United23.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Philadelphia Union72.5
DC United27.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.88 xG/match
15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
51.8%Possession5/539.6%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
15 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
0.75 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.13 goals/match
1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.88 xG/match
14.6 shots/match▲Shots8/89.75 shots/match
3.75 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82.38 shots/match
50.9%Possession8/841%
7.13 corners/matchCorners8/84 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls8/813.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
0.75 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.13 goals/match
1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.88 xG/match
14.6 shots/match▲Shots8/89.75 shots/match
3.75 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82.38 shots/match
50.9%Possession8/841%
7.13 corners/matchCorners8/84 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls8/813.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches
0.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/50.4 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals2/40.88 xG/match
14.8 shots/match▲Shots4/58.8 shots/match
3.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/52.2 shots/match
51.5%Possession4/538.4%
8.75 corners/matchCorners4/53.4 corners/match
—Cards2/1—
13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/512 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsPhiladelphia UnionDC United
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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