Major League Soccer · 2026Wed, 22 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeSports Illustrated StadiumFull-time recap

New York Red Bulls

DLWDL

4–4Full-time recap

DC United

WDLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	New York Red Bulls	DC United
Shots	13 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.34 xG/match	3.41 xG/match▲
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	3 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New York Red Bulls's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for DC United. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

New York Red Bulls's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New York Red Bulls's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.78 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.78 goals/match	1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for DC United.

4.21 days▲Rest daysNew York Red Bulls · DC United4 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	New York Red Bulls	DC United	Baseline
Rest days	4.21 days	4 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

New York Red Bulls have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.1%▲PossessionNew York Red Bulls · DC United41.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	New York Red Bulls	DC United	Baseline
Possession	58.1%	41.9%	49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New York Red Bulls favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · DC United in 4 · 5 too close

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/90.89 goals/match

2.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.44 goals/match

1.52 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/61.3 xG/match

2.33 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.24 xG/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/910.2 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/913 shots/match

5.67 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/92.67 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲4.78 shots/match

58.1%Possessionseason · 9/941.9%

6.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/93.89 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/95 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/32 cards/match

12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/913.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲33%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/944%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New York Red Bulls95

DC United5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New York Red Bulls73.3

DC United8.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New York Red Bulls25

DC United52.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New York Red Bulls48.3

DC United41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New York Red Bulls39.1

DC United61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New York Red Bulls95

DC United21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New York Red Bulls76.7

DC United29.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

3.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.24 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

54.2%Possession5/542.6%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match

2.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.44 goals/match

1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.3 xG/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shots9/910.2 shots/match

5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/92.67 shots/match

58.1%Possession9/941.9%

6.67 corners/matchCorners9/93.89 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCards5/32 cards/match

12.1 fouls/matchFouls9/913.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match

2.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.44 goals/match

1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.3 xG/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shots9/910.2 shots/match

5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target9/92.67 shots/match

58.1%Possession9/941.9%

6.67 corners/matchCorners9/93.89 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCards5/32 cards/match

12.1 fouls/matchFouls9/913.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 6 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/61 goals/match

2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/6▲1.17 goals/match

—Expected goals2/51.39 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots4/69.67 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/62.67 shots/match

58.8%Possession4/640.2%

5.5 corners/matchCorners4/63.33 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/1—

12 fouls/matchFouls4/612.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

New York Red Bulls's recent record differs from the season

Recent scheduling adds useful context

The teams have contrasting possession records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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