Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeAudi FieldFull-time recap
32Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricDC UnitedOrlando City SC
Shots15 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.07 xG/match0.83 xG/match
Possession39%61%
Corners7 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards5 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for DC United, Orlando City SC. A second useful context is: Orlando City SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for DC United, Orlando City SC.

3 daysRest daysDC United · Orlando City SC3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDC UnitedOrlando City SCBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Orlando City SC have a visible away split

moderate

Orlando City SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.6 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.65 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

DC United favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Orlando City SC in 3 · 4 too close

1.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/101.2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/102.9 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.01 xG/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.68 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1010.8 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1016.9 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/104 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/107.1 shots/match
41.6%Possessionseason · 10/1045%
4.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/103.9 corners/match
5.3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/106.7 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/33 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1011.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/100%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1060%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

DC United1.7
Orlando City SC18.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

DC United14.5
Orlando City SC21.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

DC United53.3
Orlando City SC5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

DC United55
Orlando City SC41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

DC United56.6
Orlando City SC52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 65%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

DC United31.7
Orlando City SC18.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

DC United34.2
Orlando City SC20.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.83 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots5/510.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
44.6%Possession5/551.2%
4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.9 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.01 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots10/1010.8 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104 shots/match
41.6%Possession10/1045%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.9 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.01 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots10/1010.8 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104 shots/match
41.6%Possession10/1045%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/50.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/54 goals/match
Expected goals2/40.68 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots4/57.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/52.8 shots/match
43.8%Possession4/545%
5.5 corners/matchCorners4/54.6 corners/match
Cards2/1
15.3 fouls/matchFouls4/59.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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