Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeBank of America StadiumFull-time recap

Charlotte

LWDWW

1–2Full-time recap

Nashville SC

DWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Charlotte	Nashville SC
Shots	8 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.29 xG/match▲	0.52 xG/match
Possession	45%	55%
Corners	3 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Charlotte's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Nashville SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Charlotte's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlotte's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.86 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nashville SC have a visible away split

weak

Nashville SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.75 shots/match	12 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Charlotte show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Charlotte's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match▲ShotsCharlotte · Nashville SC12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Charlotte	Nashville SC	Baseline
Shots	11.3 shots/match	12 shots/match	12.1 shots/match
Shots against	14.6 shots/match	8.86 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlotte favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Nashville SC in 7 · 7 too close

1.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/7▲2.14 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/7▲0.57 goals/match

1.82 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.39 xG/match

1.38 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.05 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/7▲12 shots/match

14.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/7▲8.86 shots/match

5.43 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/75.29 shots/match

6.14 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/7▲2.14 shots/match

50.1%Possessionseason · 7/754.6%

4.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/73.71 corners/match

5.29 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/7▲3.29 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/31.67 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/713.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/7▲43%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlotte48.3

Nashville SC78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlotte60.5

Nashville SC68.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlotte34.4

Nashville SC91.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlotte35

Nashville SC25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlotte34.1

Nashville SC48.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 71%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlotte45

Nashville SC10

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlotte42.9

Nashville SC51.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52.2 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.39 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/512.6 shots/match

6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.6 shots/match

53.2%Possession5/554.8%

5.4 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches

1.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲2.14 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.57 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.39 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲12 shots/match

5.43 shots/matchShots on target7/75.29 shots/match

50.1%Possession7/754.6%

4.71 corners/matchCorners7/73.71 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/31.67 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls7/713.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches

1.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲2.14 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.57 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.39 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲12 shots/match

5.43 shots/matchShots on target7/75.29 shots/match

50.1%Possession7/754.6%

4.71 corners/matchCorners7/73.71 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/31.67 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls7/713.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 4 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/40.75 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/4▲0.5 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.77 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/48.75 shots/match

6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/43.75 shots/match

53.2%Possession5/453%

5.4 corners/matchCorners5/43.25 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/413.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.96 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match

Match statistics

What the record shows

Charlotte's recent record differs from the season

Nashville SC have a visible away split

Charlotte show a distinct attacking-volume record

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match