Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeGillette StadiumFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNew England RevolutionDC United
Shots11 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.81 xG/match1.12 xG/match
Possession54%46%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match11 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New England Revolution's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

New England Revolution have a visible home split

weak

New England Revolution's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.7 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season8.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match8.67 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

New England Revolution show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.67 shots/matchShotsNew England Revolution · DC United10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNew England RevolutionDC UnitedBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsNew England Revolution · DC United14.1 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNew England RevolutionDC UnitedBaseline
Fouls13.8 fouls/match14.1 fouls/match11.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New England Revolution favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · DC United in 4 · 6 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/70.57 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/71.29 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/40.94 xG/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.2 xG/match
8.67 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/710.3 shots/match
14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/712.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/72.71 shots/match
5.83 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/74.86 shots/match
46.2%Possessionseason · 6/741.4%
2.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/74.43 corners/match
4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/74.14 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/714.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/729%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/743%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New England Revolution31.7
DC United5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New England Revolution35
DC United5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New England Revolution33.3
DC United58.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New England Revolution8.3
DC United51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution70.8
DC United63.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 71%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution1.7
DC United31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New England Revolution25.4
DC United32.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.94 xG/match
9.6 shots/matchShots5/511.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
46.4%Possession5/539.2%
2.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
Cards2/1
14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 7 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored6/70.57 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/71.29 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.94 xG/match
8.67 shots/matchShots6/710.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/72.71 shots/match
46.2%Possession6/741.4%
2.5 corners/matchCorners6/74.43 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/714.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 7 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored6/70.57 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/71.29 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.94 xG/match
8.67 shots/matchShots6/710.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/72.71 shots/match
46.2%Possession6/741.4%
2.5 corners/matchCorners6/74.43 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/714.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 4 matches
3.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/40.5 goals/match
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/40.75 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.96 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots3/49.5 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target3/42.75 shots/match
48.7%Possession3/438.5%
1.33 corners/matchCorners3/44 corners/match
Cards1/1
13.7 fouls/matchFouls3/412.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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