Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeBMO FieldFull-time recap

Toronto FC

LWDWW

1–1Full-time recap

FC Cincinnati

LLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Toronto FC	FC Cincinnati
Shots	9 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.43 xG/match	0.66 xG/match▲
Possession	49%	51%
Corners	6 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	20 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.14 corners/match▲CornersToronto FC · FC Cincinnati5.57 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Toronto FC	FC Cincinnati	Baseline
Corners	6.14 corners/match	5.57 corners/match	5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Toronto FC

0Draws

0FC Cincinnati

8 Mar 2026FC Cincinnati — Toronto FC · Major League Soccer0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Toronto FC favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · FC Cincinnati in 4 · 5 too close

1.43 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/71.43 goals/match

1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/72.29 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲1.21 xG/match

0.9 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/51.29 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/7▲12.9 shots/match

11.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/713.6 shots/match

4.71 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/7▲5.14 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/75 shots/match

45.3%Possessionseason · 7/750.7%

6.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/75.57 corners/match

5.86 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/7▲3.57 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/62.67 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/713.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 7/771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Toronto FC28.3

FC Cincinnati58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Toronto FC43.9

FC Cincinnati56.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Toronto FC62.2

FC Cincinnati28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Toronto FC51.7

FC Cincinnati58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Toronto FC45.8

FC Cincinnati70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 79%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Toronto FC78.3

FC Cincinnati63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Toronto FC53.3

FC Cincinnati64.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/53 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.21 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.4 shots/match

5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match

44.4%Possession5/549.2%

7 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

—Cards2/43.75 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFouls5/515.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches

1.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.43 goals/match

1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72.29 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.21 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲12.9 shots/match

4.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲5.14 shots/match

45.3%Possession7/750.7%

6.14 corners/matchCorners7/75.57 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/62.67 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/713.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches

1.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.43 goals/match

1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72.29 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.21 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲12.9 shots/match

4.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲5.14 shots/match

45.3%Possession7/750.7%

6.14 corners/matchCorners7/75.57 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/62.67 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/713.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/43 goals/match

1 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲1.27 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShots4/413 shots/match

5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.75 shots/match

44.8%Possession4/449.5%

7 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match

—Cards2/42.5 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/412.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.73 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match

Match statistics

What the record shows

Both teams have elevated corners records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match