Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 18:30 UTCFull timeSaputo StadiumFull-time recap

CF Montreal

LWLLL

1–2Full-time recap

Philadelphia Union

LLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	CF Montreal	Philadelphia Union
Shots	7 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.97 xG/match	1.02 xG/match▲
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	2 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	19 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: CF Montreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: CF Montreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

CF Montreal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CF Montreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.14 goals/match	1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CF Montreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CF Montreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match▲ShotsCF Montreal · Philadelphia Union14.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	CF Montreal	Philadelphia Union	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	14.1 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	13.3 shots/match	9.29 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.1 fouls/match▲FoulsCF Montreal · Philadelphia Union16 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	CF Montreal	Philadelphia Union	Baseline
Fouls	14.1 fouls/match	16 fouls/match	12.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

CF Montreal favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Philadelphia Union in 6 · 6 too close

1.14 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/70.86 goals/match

2.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/7▲1.71 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.35 xG/match

1.68 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.94 xG/match

11 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/7▲14.1 shots/match

13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/7▲9.29 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/73.71 shots/match

6.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/7▲4.29 shots/match

50.4%Possessionseason · 7/749.3%

4 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/76.29 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/7▲2.86 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/34 cards/match

14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/716 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

14%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/70%

57%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7▲71%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

CF Montreal51.7

Philadelphia Union48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

CF Montreal25.6

Philadelphia Union34.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

CF Montreal16.1

Philadelphia Union58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

CF Montreal21.7

Philadelphia Union75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

CF Montreal45

Philadelphia Union98.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 71%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

CF Montreal23.3

Philadelphia Union83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

CF Montreal36.2

Philadelphia Union68.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.35 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.2 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match

53.2%Possession5/549.4%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/516.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches

1.14 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match

2.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.71 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.35 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots7/7▲14.1 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on target7/73.71 shots/match

50.4%Possession7/749.3%

4 corners/matchCorners7/76.29 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards4/34 cards/match

14.1 fouls/matchFouls7/716 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches

1.14 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match

2.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.71 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.35 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots7/7▲14.1 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on target7/73.71 shots/match

50.4%Possession7/749.3%

4 corners/matchCorners7/76.29 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards4/34 cards/match

14.1 fouls/matchFouls7/716 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 4 matches

—Goals scored1/41 goals/match

—Goals allowed1/41.75 goals/match

—Expected goals1/31.52 xG/match

—Shots1/414.5 shots/match

—Shots on target1/43.75 shots/match

—Possession1/450.3%

—Corners1/45.5 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

—Fouls1/417.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.79 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

CF Montreal's recent record differs from the season

CF Montreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

Both teams have elevated fouls records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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