PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Allianz Arena

FC Bayern München 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 3–3.

Shots
2312
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.312.59
Possession
75%25%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayern München and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Bayern München – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 23–12, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.31–2.59, possession 75%–25%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsBayern München · 1. FC Heidenheim11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayern München1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.3% ●PossessionBayern München · 1. FC Heidenheim42.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayern München1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Possession67.3%42.2%47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots12 shotsFC Bayern München 23 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsFC Bayern München 7 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.31 xG2.59 xGFC Bayern München 2.31 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 2.59 xG
  • Possession75%25%FC Bayern München 75%, 1. FC Heidenheim 25%
  • Corners13 corners5 cornersFC Bayern München 13 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls7 foulsFC Bayern München 6 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsFC Bayern München 3 cards, 1. FC Heidenheim 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hennes Behrens · 1. FC Heidenheim · 63′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMarnon Busch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · Bayern München · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Bayern München · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHiroki Ito · Bayern München · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · Bayern München · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Bayern München · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Bayern München · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · Bayern München · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKim Min-jae · Bayern München · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Bayern München · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalLeon Goretzka · Bayern München · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoshua Kimmich · Bayern München · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 76′ · 0.03 xG · goalNicolas Jackson · Bayern München · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAleksandar Pavlović · Bayern München · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · Bayern München · 44′ · 0.05 xG · goalMichael Olise · Bayern München · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Bayern München · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · Bayern München · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · Bayern München · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKim Min-jae · Bayern München · 56′ · 0.27 xG · on targetEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 68′ · 0.44 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Bayern München · 55′ · 0.46 xG · on targetBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 22′ · 0.49 xG · goalLeon Goretzka · Bayern München · 57′ · 0.71 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayern München: 23 shots, 7 on target, 2.24 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.14 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Leon Goretzka · Bayern München · 44′Leon Goretzka · Bayern München · 57′Michael Olise · Bayern München · 90′Budu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 22′Budu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayern München 2.24 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4FC Bayern München
0Draws
11. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–4
1. FC Heidenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–4
FC Bayern München — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga4–2
1. FC Heidenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga3–2
FC Bayern München — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München32 matches1. FC Heidenheim32 matches
3.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.19 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/322.16 goals/match
2.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.36 xG/match
19.3 shots/match ▲Shots32/3211.3 shots/match
8.53 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/323.53 shots/match
67.3% ●Possession32/3242.2%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners32/324.5 corners/match
1.85 cards/matchCards26/261.54 cards/match
8.94 fouls/matchFouls32/329.94 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern München1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Bayern München — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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