PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Voith-Arena

1. FC Heidenheim 2–0 FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim won 2–0.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.611.06
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim beat FC St. Pauli 2–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – FC St. Pauli): shots 12–11, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.61–1.06, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shots1. FC Heidenheim 12 shots, FC St. Pauli 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shots1. FC Heidenheim 5 shots, FC St. Pauli 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.61 xG1.06 xG1. FC Heidenheim 1.61 xG, FC St. Pauli 1.06 xG
  • Possession45%55%1. FC Heidenheim 45%, FC St. Pauli 55%
  • Corners6 corners6 corners1. FC Heidenheim 6 corners, FC St. Pauli 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls6 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 7 fouls, FC St. Pauli 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 card1. FC Heidenheim 0 cards, FC St. Pauli 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Danel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoel Chima Fujita · FC St. Pauli · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArkadiusz Pyrka · FC St. Pauli · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHennes Behrens · 1. FC Heidenheim · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArkadiusz Pyrka · FC St. Pauli · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 2′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 16′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Hountondji · FC St. Pauli · 53′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 86′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulie Ceesay · FC St. Pauli · 75′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKarol Mets · FC St. Pauli · 36′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 49′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 82′ · 0.23 xG · goalMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 3′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedMarnon Busch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.28 xG · on targetAndreas Hountondji · FC St. Pauli · 24′ · 0.40 xG · on targetBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 3′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.63 xG. FC St. Pauli: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Budu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 3′Eren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 1.63 xG · FC St. Pauli 1.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Heidenheim
1Draws
3FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–1
1. FC Heidenheim — FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga0–2
FC St. Pauli — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga0–2
1. FC Heidenheim — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga0–1
FC St. Pauli — 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim31 matchesFC St. Pauli31 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.84 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/310.87 xG/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots31/3110.3 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on target31/313.42 shots/match
42.7%Possession31/31● 44.6%
4.48 corners/matchCorners31/31● 4.55 corners/match
1.54 cards/matchCards26/261.58 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls31/319.71 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimFC St. Pauli
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-head1. FC Heidenheim — FC St. Pauli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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