Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 13:30 UTCFull timeWWK ArenaFull-time recap

FC Augsburg

LLDDW

1–1Full-time recap

Eintracht Frankfurt

WLDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FC Augsburg	Eintracht Frankfurt
Shots	17 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.01 xG/match▲	1.05 xG/match
Possession	40%	60%
Corners	9 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.26 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.3%▲PossessionFC Augsburg · Eintracht Frankfurt55%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	FC Augsburg	Eintracht Frankfurt	Baseline
Possession	44.3%	55%	47.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0FC Augsburg

0Draws

1Eintracht Frankfurt

13 Dec 2025Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Augsburg favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 8 · 4 too close

1.26 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/31▲1.81 goals/match

1.77 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 31/311.87 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/61.35 xG/match

2.13 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.71 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 31/3112.1 shots/match

14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/31▲12.6 shots/match

4.39 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/314.55 shots/match

4.9 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/31▲4.65 shots/match

44.3%Possessionseason · 31/3155%

4.55 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/314.58 corners/match

5.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/31▲4.45 corners/match

2.73 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/26▲2 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3110.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/31▲23%

74%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/31▲90%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Augsburg19.4

Eintracht Frankfurt80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Augsburg48.1

Eintracht Frankfurt54.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Augsburg25.9

Eintracht Frankfurt43.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Augsburg86.1

Eintracht Frankfurt2.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Augsburg86.1

Eintracht Frankfurt51.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Augsburg44.4

Eintracht Frankfurt52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Augsburg56.2

Eintracht Frankfurt51.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.43 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.4 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match

38%Possession5/559.6%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/58.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.35 xG/match

13.7 shots/matchShots10/1013.3 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.2 shots/match

41.2%Possession10/1059.2%

4.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match

2.8 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls10/108.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches

1.26 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲1.81 goals/match

1.77 goals/match▲Goals allowed31/311.87 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.35 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots31/3112.1 shots/match

4.39 shots/matchShots on target31/314.55 shots/match

44.3%Possession31/3155%

4.55 corners/matchCorners31/314.58 corners/match

2.73 cards/matchCards26/262 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls31/3110.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲1.88 goals/match

1.69 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/162.19 goals/match

1.7 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.19 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots16/1611.1 shots/match

4.69 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.94 shots/match

45.4%Possession16/1656.4%

5.38 corners/matchCorners16/164.06 corners/match

2.69 cards/matchCards13/132.23 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.88 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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