PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025BayArena

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 1–2.

Shots
3611
Shots on target
105
Expected goals
3.81.33
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat Bayer Leverkusen 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bayer Leverkusen – FC Augsburg): shots 36–11, shots on target 10–5, expected goals 3.8–1.33, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer Leverkusen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bayer Leverkusen's last-five shots average is above their season average.

21.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots21.2 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer Leverkusen have a visible home split

moderate

Bayer Leverkusen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.7% ●PossessionBayer Leverkusen · FC Augsburg44.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayer LeverkusenFC AugsburgBaseline
Possession59.7%44.5%47.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots36 shots11 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 36 shots, FC Augsburg 11 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots5 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 10 shots, FC Augsburg 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.8 xG1.33 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 3.8 xG, FC Augsburg 1.33 xG
  • Possession71%29%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 71%, FC Augsburg 29%
  • Corners11 corners4 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 11 corners, FC Augsburg 4 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls8 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 5 fouls, FC Augsburg 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardBayer 04 Leverkusen 2 cards, FC Augsburg 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Exequiel Palacios · Bayer Leverkusen · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 15′ · 0.02 xG · goalHan-Noah Massengo · FC Augsburg · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer Leverkusen · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Ribeiro · FC Augsburg · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCedric Zesiger · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer Leverkusen · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vázquez · Bayer Leverkusen · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer Leverkusen · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 12′ · 0.04 xG · goalNathan Tella · Bayer Leverkusen · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDimitrios Giannoulis · FC Augsburg · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNathan Tella · Bayer Leverkusen · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Ribeiro · FC Augsburg · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnton Kade · FC Augsburg · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer Leverkusen · 30′ · 0.06 xG · on targetChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAleix García · Bayer Leverkusen · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer Leverkusen · 56′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer Leverkusen · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer Leverkusen · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRodrigo Ribeiro · FC Augsburg · 51′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Bayer Leverkusen · 30′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer Leverkusen · 36′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer Leverkusen · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 78′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 76′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 2′ · 0.13 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.17 xG · on targetNathan Tella · Bayer Leverkusen · 63′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.19 xG · on targetChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.26 xG · on targetIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 59′ · 0.29 xG · on targetChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer Leverkusen · 72′ · 0.34 xG · on targetFabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer Leverkusen: 35 shots, 10 on target, 3.45 xG. FC Augsburg: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.38 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Patrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 12′Fabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 15′Fabian Rieder · FC Augsburg · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer Leverkusen 3.45 xG · FC Augsburg 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0Draws
1FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–0
FC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–1
FC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen30 matchesFC Augsburg30 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.27 goals/match
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.8 goals/match
1.82 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.28 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots30/3013 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/304.53 shots/match
59.7% ●Possession30/3044.5%
5.47 corners/match ●Corners30/304.47 corners/match
2.31 cards/matchCards26/262.73 cards/match
8.8 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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