Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 13:30 UTCFull timePreZero ArenaFull-time recap

1899 Hoffenheim

WDLLD

2–1Full-time recap

Borussia Dortmund

WWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	1899 Hoffenheim	Borussia Dortmund
Shots	11 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.3 xG/match▲	0.48 xG/match
Possession	46%	54%
Corners	4 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: 1899 Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

1899 Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1899 Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.97 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.97 goals/match	1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.57 corners/match▲Corners1899 Hoffenheim · Borussia Dortmund5.4 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	1899 Hoffenheim	Borussia Dortmund	Baseline
Corners	5.57 corners/match	5.4 corners/match	4.57 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

01899 Hoffenheim

0Draws

1Borussia Dortmund

7 Dec 2025Borussia Dortmund — 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

1899 Hoffenheim favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 9 · 3 too close

1.97 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/302.03 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/30▲1.03 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲2.16 xG/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲0.91 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 30/3013 shots/match

12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/30▲10.7 shots/match

5.13 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 30/304.63 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/30▲3.47 shots/match

54.8%Possessionseason · 30/3053.1%

5.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/305.4 corners/match

4.93 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/30▲4.53 corners/match

2.04 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/25▲1.92 cards/match

13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3011.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/30▲43%

83%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/30▲97%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1899 Hoffenheim75

Borussia Dortmund66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1899 Hoffenheim75.9

Borussia Dortmund71.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1899 Hoffenheim70.4

Borussia Dortmund91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1899 Hoffenheim41.7

Borussia Dortmund13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1899 Hoffenheim77.8

Borussia Dortmund52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1899 Hoffenheim91.7

Borussia Dortmund75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1899 Hoffenheim86.1

Borussia Dortmund68

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.16 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/512.8 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match

58%Possession5/553.4%

6.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2 goals/match

2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.16 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.3 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.3 shots/match

57.9%Possession10/1052.6%

6.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.7 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match

12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches

1.97 goals/matchGoals scored30/302.03 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲1.03 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.16 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots30/3013 shots/match

5.13 shots/match▲Shots on target30/304.63 shots/match

54.8%Possession30/3053.1%

5.57 corners/matchCorners30/305.4 corners/match

2.04 cards/matchCards25/251.92 cards/match

13.9 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

2.07 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.87 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.13 goals/match

1.46 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

15.7 shots/match▲Shots15/1511.2 shots/match

5.87 shots/match▲Shots on target15/154 shots/match

56.6%Possession15/1550.9%

6.47 corners/matchCorners15/153.4 corners/match

1.75 cards/matchCards12/132.31 cards/match

13.6 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

1899 Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated corners records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match