Hamburger SV 1–2 TSG Hoffenheim — Bundesliga 2025/26 Match Stats

Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTCVolksparkstadion

Hamburger SV

DLDLL

1–2Historical match

TSG Hoffenheim

DLLDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim won 1–2.

Shots: 1215
Shots on target: 46
Expected goals: 1.371.45
Possession: 41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

1899 Hoffenheim beat Hamburger SV 2–1. Recorded in this match (Hamburger SV – 1899 Hoffenheim): shots 12–15, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.37–1.45, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1899 Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1899 Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.97 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.97 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

11.9 fouls/matchFoulsHamburger SV · 1899 Hoffenheim14.1 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Hamburger SV	1899 Hoffenheim	Baseline
Fouls	11.9 fouls/match	14.1 fouls/match	10.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

1899 Hoffenheim have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.8%PossessionHamburger SV · 1899 Hoffenheim● 55%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Hamburger SV	1899 Hoffenheim	Baseline
Possession	45.8%	55%	47.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

Shots12 shots15 shotsHamburger SV 12 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 15 shots
Shots on target4 shots6 shotsHamburger SV 4 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 6 shots
Expected goals1.37 xG1.45 xGHamburger SV 1.37 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 1.45 xG
Possession41%59%Hamburger SV 41%, TSG Hoffenheim 59%
Corners4 corners9 cornersHamburger SV 4 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 9 corners
Fouls11 fouls18 foulsHamburger SV 11 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 18 fouls
Yellow cards1 card4 cardsHamburger SV 1 card, TSG Hoffenheim 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Hamburger SV: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.37 xG. 1899 Hoffenheim: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hamburger SV 1.37 xG · 1899 Hoffenheim 1.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Hamburger SV

0Draws

1TSG Hoffenheim

13 Dec 2025TSG Hoffenheim — Hamburger SV · Bundesliga4–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hamburger SV favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hamburger SV31 matchesTSG Hoffenheim31 matches

1.1 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.97 goals/match

1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.45 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.61 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 13.9 shots/match

4.52 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 5.16 shots/match

45.8%Possession31/31● 55%

3.74 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.68 corners/match

2.63 cards/matchCards27/252.04 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls31/3114.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required

Match at a glance

What the match recorded