Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 2 May 2026, 13:30 UTCFull timeDeutsche Bank ParkFull-time recap

Eintracht Frankfurt

LDWLD

1–2Full-time recap

Hamburger SV

LDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Eintracht Frankfurt	Hamburger SV
Shots	8 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.7 xG/match▲	0.6 xG/match
Possession	64%	36%
Corners	9 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	5 fouls/match
Yellow cards	6 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

weak

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.6 shots/match	12 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.3%▲PossessionEintracht Frankfurt · Hamburger SV45.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Eintracht Frankfurt	Hamburger SV	Baseline
Possession	55.3%	45.4%	47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Eintracht Frankfurt

1Draws

0Hamburger SV

20 Dec 2025Hamburger SV — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Hamburger SV in 1 · 4 too close

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/321.13 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/32▲1.59 goals/match

1.26 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/70.9 xG/match

1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/72.38 xG/match

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/3211.9 shots/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 32/3214.3 shots/match

4.56 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/324.5 shots/match

4.63 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 32/324.91 shots/match

55.3%Possessionseason · 32/3245.4%

4.72 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/323.72 corners/match

4.44 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 32/325.69 corners/match

2.19 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/282.61 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3211.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3219%

91%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3269%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt80.6

Hamburger SV30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eintracht Frankfurt53.7

Hamburger SV30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eintracht Frankfurt45.4

Hamburger SV39.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eintracht Frankfurt2.8

Hamburger SV52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt58.3

Hamburger SV84.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt52.8

Hamburger SV2.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eintracht Frankfurt50.7

Hamburger SV41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.9 xG/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

58.4%Possession5/541.4%

7 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards1/32.67 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match

1.26 xG/match▲Expected goals7/70.9 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots10/109.1 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match

61.2%Possession10/1041.1%

5.5 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match

3.2 cards/matchCards5/62.17 cards/match

8.7 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored32/321.13 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲1.59 goals/match

1.26 xG/match▲Expected goals7/70.9 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots32/3211.9 shots/match

4.56 shots/matchShots on target32/324.5 shots/match

55.3%Possession32/3245.4%

4.72 corners/matchCorners32/323.72 corners/match

2.19 cards/matchCards27/282.61 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.69 goals/match▲Goals scored16/160.88 goals/match

1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.94 goals/match

1.31 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.81 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots16/1610.8 shots/match

5.19 shots/match▲Shots on target16/164.31 shots/match

54.2%Possession16/1645.6%

5.38 corners/matchCorners16/163.63 corners/match

2.14 cards/matchCards14/142.79 cards/match

9.88 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.88 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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