PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Deutsche Bank Park

Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Hamburger SV · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hamburger SV won 1–2.

Shots
89
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.650.62
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hamburger SV beat Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburger SV): shots 8–9, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.65–0.62, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

weak

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.2% ●PossessionEintracht Frankfurt · Hamburger SV45.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtHamburger SVBaseline
Possession55.2%45.5%47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots9 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 8 shots, Hamburger SV 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 5 shots, Hamburger SV 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG0.62 xGEintracht Frankfurt 0.65 xG, Hamburger SV 0.62 xG
  • Possession64%36%Eintracht Frankfurt 64%, Hamburger SV 36%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersEintracht Frankfurt 9 corners, Hamburger SV 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls5 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 13 fouls, Hamburger SV 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards6 cards1 cardEintracht Frankfurt 6 cards, Hamburger SV 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolás Capaldo · Hamburger SV · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCan Uzun · Eintracht Frankfurt · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFábio Vieira · Hamburger SV · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBakery Jatta · Hamburger SV · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJean-Mattéo Bahoya · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Grønbæk · Hamburger SV · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Hamburger SV · 26′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFábio Vieira · Hamburger SV · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCan Uzun · Eintracht Frankfurt · 38′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYounes Ebnoutalib · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJonathan Burkardt · Eintracht Frankfurt · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Grønbæk · Hamburger SV · 51′ · 0.07 xG · goalFábio Vieira · Hamburger SV · 5′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCan Uzun · Eintracht Frankfurt · 39′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFábio Vieira · Hamburger SV · 59′ · 0.28 xG · goalCan Uzun · Eintracht Frankfurt · 48′ · 0.31 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.66 xG. Hamburger SV: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Can Uzun · Eintracht Frankfurt · 48′Albert Grønbæk · Hamburger SV · 51′Fábio Vieira · Hamburger SV · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 0.66 xG · Hamburger SV 0.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Eintracht Frankfurt
1Draws
0Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Hamburger SV in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt32 matchesHamburger SV32 matches
1.78 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.13 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.16 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots32/3212 shots/match
4.56 shots/matchShots on target32/324.5 shots/match
55.2% ●Possession32/3245.5%
4.72 corners/match ●Corners32/323.75 corners/match
2.19 cards/matchCards27/282.57 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtHamburger SV
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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